Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2

[John Tonkovich]

I believe we know why John. I agree, the Netflix doc was grotesque.

Trump's " friendships " are always strictly transactional.
So what transaction is Trump engaged in with Ms. Maxwell?

We know that Trump - " Mr. Grab 'em by the P$%&y" - has a history of aggressive behavior towards women, and also a history of infidelity - Stormy Daniels and Karen McDougal and Marla Maples.

[Royell Storing]

  "Judge a Pitcher by the Reaction of the Hitter". The Escalating Hysteria being displayed here means Trump will be re-elected. They Know It!

[John Tonkovich]

  "Judge a Pitcher by the Reaction of the Hitter". The Escalating Hysteria being displayed here means Trump will be re-elected. They Know It!

1,039 deaths yesterday.
Facts. Not "Hysteria".

[Paul May]

  "Judge a Pitcher by the Reaction of the Hitter". The Escalating Hysteria being displayed here means Trump will be re-elected. They Know It!

Will bet you $1000.00 right now he does not get re-elected. Money to be deposited into an escrow account. You’re some hot shot “consultant” so it shouldn’t be a problem. Let’s see your degree of confidence. Deal?

[Paul May]

Trump's " friendships " are always strictly transactional.
So what transaction is Trump engaged in with Ms. Maxwell?

We know that Trump - " Mr. Grab 'em by the P$%&y" - has a history of aggressive behavior towards women, and also a history of infidelity - Stormy Daniels and Karen McDougal and Marla Maples.

Mika Brezinski this morning:

The president giving a hat tip to Ghislaine Maxwell, saying he wishes her well, a woman who is accused of abusing children by his Justice Department. When this president has in the past sent those little messages through his public orations, saying something that then ends up to somebody getting out of jail or being pardoned, or whatever. Okay, Congressional Republicans? I’m just wondering, if I slow down and deliver to you these facts, which are basic, and which would just require you to use your brain and your moral compass and say something and do something. Do you see what is happening? Can you still not see it? Are you going to wait even longer? It will be on you.

[Paul May]

The US election polls and the betting odds are now saying the same thing – punters aren’t backing Donald Trump anymore
James Moore

Donald Trump’s odds of winning the US election are sliding at the rate of a horse found lame in the run up to the Kentucky Derby.

The President’s troubled campaign, his misreading of America’s mood and dismal polling data suggest its only a matter of time before one of the leading bookies offers odds of 2-1, giving him an implied probability of victory of just 33 per cent.

According to Oddschecker, which looks across the market, his Democratic challenger Joe Biden’s price has shortened to 8/13 from 8/11 in just the last week, with his implied probability moving from 57.9 per cent to 61.9 per cent. Trump has drifted from a best price 13/8 (38.1 per cent ) to 7/4 (36.4 per cent).

Until recently the odds have, arguably, been lagging the polls. Biden’s lead has barely shifted in a month, during which time it has been within spitting distance of double digits, per FiveThirtyEight’s tracker.

Such chunky leads are usually subject to erosion over time, but there’s been scant sign of it happening so far. A Dallas Morning News-UT Tyler poll last week even gave the Democrat a five point lead in Texas, a Republican firewall that Trump carried by 9 points last time.

Now they’ve been talking for years about Texas – a state which Trump simply has to win given the 38 votes it carries in the electoral college – turning Democrat blue. Demographically it’s becoming more diverse, with a rapidly-rising Hispanic population. But even though the hard Republican red has been softening, it remains to be seen whether Texas is quite as purple (that is, up for grabs) as the polling suggests.

Numbers like that nonetheless suggest Trump has a mountain to climb.

So far he has taken most of the bets: 54 per cent according to Oddschecker, compared to just 15.8 per cent for Biden. It’s worth noting that the market was open before Biden was locked in as the challenger, yet he’s barely secured more supporters than have “others”. Meanwhile, Paddy Power’s regular biweekly bet count last week showed Trump with 36 per cent of the bets by number and 84 per cent of the volume of money. Kanye West’s 34 per cent bet count indicates a lot of people staking small amounts of money at big prices in the wake of the publicity generated by the rapper’s quixotic entry into the race. Biden, by contrast, was friendless.

Things were different on the Betfair exchange, where punters set the odds and can play bookie by laying other people’s selections. Trump has 59 per cent of its market against Biden’s 31 per cent, with £48.5m matched. But Biden’s market was the more active in July, which is the first time that’s been the case. This suggests that the money is gearing up to move in favour of the Democrat. Wealthy punters have long had a yen for putting very big bets on “sure things” at odds on.

They did that with Hillary Clinton and got badly bruised as a result (including one British MP, who must remain nameless). This time around, however, it may be different.

[John Iacoletti]

   Stop your Crying and take your beating like a Man. You babble around here far more than anyone else and then cry when you get your hat handed to you. Either get better or get used to it.

All of this grandstanding and still not a single citation of Biden ever calling for the defunding of police.