So far the Red Shirt Man =Oswald theory seems to be plausible.
No one has demonstrated (yet) that a red shirt with such large black square grid pattern as Loveladys shirt , can appear seemingly so solid reddish brown as in Hughes film.
I’m going along with the theory so far because it does look like a bottle in the hand of Red Shirt Man (imo) in that enlarged GIF Mr.Ford posted from Hughes film.
Lovelady said he also had gone to the 2nd floor and got a bottle of coke. The time he went up is not exactly known, but he said after he came back down and went to the Domino room, no one was in there. That’s when he then went outside to the front steps to join Sarah Stanton and Bill Shelley. ( Time approx 12;15)
Oswald was sitting in the 2nd floor lunchroom
12:15-12:17 per Carolyn Arnold, and Oswald then went down to the Domino room and was there until at least 12:25 ( seeing Jarman and Norman returning into TSBD via rear loading dock door)
How is possible that Lovelady was able to buy a coke from the 2nd floor Lunchroom , and not be seen by any office women , including Mrs Reid, then Lovelady went down to the Domino room
saw no one there, or anywhere else on the 1st floor , between 12:00 and 12:15? Lovelady then joined Sarah Stanton and Bill Shelley by 12:15.
Possibilities:
A. Lovelady bought his coke between 11:50-12:00 therefore was not seen by office women, and he waited somewhere other than the 1st floor until about 12:14 , allowingJarman/Norman and any others to have vacated both the Domino room as well as the entire 1st floor.
B. Lovelady was coerced or it was “suggested” that he should say he bought a coke in order to help out the WC.
If A. Then Billy Lovelady had 29 minutes to consume the contents of his coke thus he is not likely to be the Red Shirt Man in Hughes taking a drink at about 12:29:30.
Oswald , however, probably bought his coke after 12:15 or even a little later, probably just after Carolyn Arnold saw him , and when she left the 2nd floor lunchroom (12:17).
So the probability is in favor of Red Shirt man being Oswald because only about 12 minutes have elapsed from time bottle was bought about 12:17 to when Oswald went out to the steps at 12:29. Therefore some % of liquid contents still left in the bottle , being finished off at time of Red Shirt Man (Hughes film ) as well as arm and bottle raised in Altgens ( Cronkite version) no. 6 photo.(12:30)
(Note: if Option B that Lovelady never bought a coke at all, then it’s even greater probability that Red Shirt Man in Hughes film must be Oswald.