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31
TG--

I was addressing the matter of Gov. JBC's wrist, and Wecht's view on that.

I readily concede CT'ers, and LNT'ers, grasp at straws and bash straw-men in making their arguments.

If you think JBC held onto his Stetson hat after being shot through the hat-holding wrist, that is fine.
32
I was a CT before I ever studied the case in detail. When I did, I soon came to the conclusion that the conspiracy talk was nonsense. My belief in conspiracy was based on my own ignorance, not any credible evidence of such. There were two things that led me over to the CT side. One was the HSCA claim that there was probably a fourth shot from the GK which would indicate a conspiracy. The other was a TV documentary by investigative reporter Jack Anderson who at the time was held in high regard. His theory was that the assassination was a collaboration between the Mafia and the CIA. Both wanted to get rid Castro because Havana had been a cash cow for organized crime prior to Castro taking over and the CIA was upset about the JFK administration's promise not to invade Cuba as a condition for ending the Cuban Missile Crisis. When I started to look at the evidence in detail, it didn't take me long to figure out Andersons's theory and all other conspiracy theories were crap. I didn't read this at the time but I agree with this quote from Wikipedia regaridning Anderson's documentary

"Chicago Tribune columnist Steve Daily called the program "limp" and said Anderson's conclusion that organized crime was responsible for the assassination was based "on circumstantial evidence and the word of dead gangster Johnny Roselli."[34] Howard Rosenberg of the Los Angeles Times wrote that it was "tawdry and strident" and said Anderson's "so-called evidence was unclear, unconvincing and untrustworthy."[33] The Deseret News said Anderson was trying to "rewrite history".

That documentary came out in 1988 but when Oliver Stone's movie came out in 1991, I was firmly back in the LN camp so I wasn't a CT for long. My recollection was that the Anderson documentary had comee out earlier in the 1980s so I thought I had been a CT for longer than I actually was.


Yes, ignorance is often a huge factor. Some of the long-time club members I am dealing with are so upset at the situation that they adamantly refuse to even consider looking at the defendant”s presentation of their side of the issue. It is extremely frustrating to me for them to be like that.
33
A "bias toward the truth." BWAHAHA!!! That is about as non-introspective as I've ever heard.  :D :D :D

Sort of like "my greatest fault is that I'm just so honest and humble and kind that I'm sometimes my own worst enemy."

I recognize that I have a strong affinity for, and confirmation bias toward, weirdness of all varieties. To some extent, I share the conspiracy-prone mindset. This cuts across all varieties of weirdness in which I have been heavily involved - religion, UFOs, psychical research, the JFKA and numerous others.

The only thing I do to stay on the side of rationality is to try to be relentlessly critical and skeptical. I am the 180-degree opposite of the Gee Whiz True Believer in every area. This is true even of my own paranormal experiences. My first reaction to every super-duper UFO tale or Near-Death Experience is "Bullsh*t."

That's all I know to do - recognize the direction in which your confirmation biases point and then be relentlessly critical and skeptical of everything that feeds into them. When a UFO case or Near-Death Experience or other Tale of Weirdness now survives my filter - and some do - I am satisfied it's a piece of evidence that is worthy of being factored into my belief system.

The other danger is being so aware of your confirmation biases and so viligant that this becomes a confirmation bias of its own - because by God you aren't going to fall prey to your confirmation biases, you swing too far in the other direction.

I was on a few disciplinary panels for other lawyers. My biases tended to be personal - I either liked the attorney on trial and felt affinity or sympathy or didn't like him or her and felt the opposite. Here as well, all I could do was try be honest with myself and not let this bias affect my evaluation of the evidence or the discipline too much. Also not to let my role as a judge lure me into playing ego/power games. I always tried to put myself in the attorney's shoes and err on the side of compassion if I reasonably could.

I don't think my absolute conviction that Oswald was the assassin is in anyway a character flaw. It is the only reasonable conclusion based on the evidence. There are some things worth being open minded about. The existence of a Supreme Being. The existence of intelligent life elsewhere in the cosmos. But not the possibility of Oswald's innocence. That does not exist. I am proud to be closed minded about that.

I will confess to having a lack of humility. If it weren't for that character flaw, I'd be perfect.
34
My thoughts exactly, Oswald's later behaviour with the jacket shows where his mind was, the thought of the spendthrift Oswald discarding a perfectly good jacket easily demonstrates that Oswald would do whatever it took to evade capture.

I've seen some persuasive arguments that Oswald was wearing his white T-shirt when he was shooting from the 6th floor and then Oswald put on his brown shirt when seen by Baker and then it makes sense that Oswald who would have been a bit apprehensive after being seen by the Law, simply wrapped his shirt around his waist when seen by Reid, much like the following image and to be honest, at first I didn't even notice the shirt around her waist! ;)



To better visualize the Reid encounter, Oswald was seen by Reid going through the door, pic 27 and they crossed paths at the hand written "XR".



JohnM



I've seen some persuasive arguments that Oswald was wearing his white T-shirt when he was shooting from the 6th floor and then Oswald put on his brown shirt when seen by Baker and then it makes sense that Oswald who would have been a bit apprehensive after being seen by the Law, simply wrapped his shirt around his waist when seen by Reid, much like the following image and to be honest, at first I didn't even notice the shirt around her waist! ;)



An idea that came to me yesterday is that perhaps LHO had folded and rolled his brown shirt into as small an object as feasible (perhaps about the size of a coke bottle). If he held it in one hand similar to the way he would hold a coke, perhaps Mrs. Reid mistook it to be a coke (after just glancing at it or seeing it “out of the corner of her eye”). There is no way to either confirm this was true or not, but I think it is a possibility that makes sense to me. Your “mileage may vary”.

35
I don't understand how you can say you were on both sides - that is, you were once a conspiracy believer - and then say you are "baffled that so many people can't figure it out." You can't remember what led you to the conspiracy side?

I too was a conspiracist but clearly remember what led me to that conclusion. So I can understand why others make the same mistakes I did. E.g., the SBT, timing of the shots, Zapruder film and JFK's reaction. I can add that I had a belief that history can't be changed so easily and that great events need a great cause. And Oswald with a $20 rifle could not be that cause. Now I know that even a nobody like Oswald can alter history by himself.

I was a CT before I ever studied the case in detail. When I did, I soon came to the conclusion that the conspiracy talk was nonsense. My belief in conspiracy was based on my own ignorance, not any credible evidence of such. There were two things that led me over to the CT side. One was the HSCA claim that there was probably a fourth shot from the GK which would indicate a conspiracy. The other was a TV documentary by investigative reporter Jack Anderson who at the time was held in high regard. His theory was that the assassination was a collaboration between the Mafia and the CIA. Both wanted to get rid Castro because Havana had been a cash cow for organized crime prior to Castro taking over and the CIA was upset about the JFK administration's promise not to invade Cuba as a condition for ending the Cuban Missile Crisis. When I started to look at the evidence in detail, it didn't take me long to figure out Andersons's theory and all other conspiracy theories were crap. I didn't read this at the time but I agree with this quote from Wikipedia regaridning Anderson's documentary

"Chicago Tribune columnist Steve Daily called the program "limp" and said Anderson's conclusion that organized crime was responsible for the assassination was based "on circumstantial evidence and the word of dead gangster Johnny Roselli."[34] Howard Rosenberg of the Los Angeles Times wrote that it was "tawdry and strident" and said Anderson's "so-called evidence was unclear, unconvincing and untrustworthy."[33] The Deseret News said Anderson was trying to "rewrite history".

That documentary came out in 1988 but when Oliver Stone's movie came out in 1991, I was firmly back in the LN camp so I wasn't a CT for long. My recollection was that the Anderson documentary had comee out earlier in the 1980s so I thought I had been a CT for longer than I actually was.
36
I'm sure you haven't and won't, but you really should read Phantom Shot. You seem so closed-mindedly dogmatic on almost every issue that attempts at discussion seem pointless. Not only are you a hardcore LN fundamentalist, which is fine, but only your understanding of the LN is allowed. Everyone else's perspective is dismissed as though it were simply unworthy.

I am closed minded and I say that with pride. What reason is there to be open minded about whether Oswald fired the shots or that he acted alone. I'm not going to give CTs who dispute Oswald's guilt the benefit of the doubt because there is no doubt that he was the assassin. The opinion of anyone who doubts that is unworthy because it is ridiculous in light of the evidence that he was the shooter. If anyone wants to argue he had accomplices, the onus is on them to provide such evidence. After 62 years, I see little chance of any such evidence emerging.
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The fact is, the WC itself acknowledged the possibility of only two shots. One of the three shells is an outlier, for which its dented condition is explainable either by too-rapid operation of the action or it being a dry-firing dummy; the dry-firing explanation is at least as plausible as the other, particularly since Oswald was known to engage in dry-firing. There just does not seem to me to be any basis for dogmatism or for dismissing the two-shot scenario as though it were impossible.

The WC followed the practice of the FBI in that they would not speculate on things that could not be proven conclusively. Based on the available evidence, there is a theoretical possibility that Oswald started with an empty shell in the chamber and ejected it before firing two live rounds. It order to believe that, I would have to believe JBC did not really hear a shot about 4 seconds before he was shot and that the consensus of the witnesses in Dealey Plaza wrong. I could believe the latter but the former is hard to swallow. JBC explained what he did when he heard the first shot and we see him doing that beginning at Z164.
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Since it's clear the dented shell is not dispositive, the question then becomes what the witnesses saw and heard. Phantom Shot deals with this quite persuasively. I am also struck by how many earwitnesses seemed to think the supposed first shot sounded distinctly different and how many eyewitnesses - notably the women along Elm - placed the first shot just about exactly where the three-shot scenario places the second shot.

The three-shot scenario may be correct, but I see no basis for any sort of dogmatism - particularly since there seems to be nothing like a consensus as to when the supposed first shot occurred.

The two shot scenario is nonsense. He requires absurd mental gymnastics to believe it.
37
You are spot on but I don't think the midterms matter.  My best guess is that the Dems take the House.  Perhaps it's not the massacre many predict but enough to flip it.  Trump has relied very little on congress even with republican majority.  The Dems will spend their time trying to impeach Trump.  They have no real policies except opposing Trump.  That is likely good news for Vance or Rubio in '28.  They can blame the Dems for spending their time undermining Trump over the next two years.  The Dems fall into the same trap over and over.  Their only objective is to oppose Trump.  They always overplay that hand.

I agree with most of that. I think the midterms do matter as far as Trump's legacy goes. It will affect what he is able to accomplish. Right now I would put the odds at 60-40 that the Dems will take the House. If the election were held today, I'd put it at 80-20. The Dems would have to run the table in the toss up states to take the Senate. That is the crucial battle because there is a good chance Trump will be appointing one or two SCOTUS justices in his final two years. There's little chance the Dems would approve those unless there's a 51-49 split and Fetterman approves of a Trump nominee.

Right now Trump's approval is being dragged down by the high gas prices which will bleed over into other commodities due to rising transportation costs. If he can wrap up the Iranian war and get the Strait of Hormuz opened, that will not be much of a factor come November. If the economy takes off in the second half of the year, I could see the GOP hanging on to both chambers.
38
My point is that LNs have convinced themselves that JBC is reacting to his torso wound by z230 without looking at the evidence first - just by watching the zfilm.

The evidence is conclusive that JBC had been hit roughly a half second before Z230. The fact that you refuse to see that doesn't change that fact.
39
So all the MAGA people complaining about Bidens $3:50 a gallon price and eggs and bacon prices were not whiny bitches?

Gas was a lot higher than $3.50 under Biden and it wasn't due to spending on our troops. It was due to spending one liberal programs like the climate change scam.
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Now when I was patrolling the West German border in 83 and also driving an M60A3 tank when the whole unit deployed for what appeared to be an imminent threat from Warsaw Pact armor units , in the middle of a 10 below zero winter snow storm , I guess I just wasn’t contributing enough.

What the hell does that have to do with the price of gas today?
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My problem with Trump is that he appears to be waffling. ( Even Mark Levin is staring to wonder what’s up ) How many more insulting responses and videos from Iranian regime nuts taunting Trump do we tax paying Veteran citizens of USA have to endure?

It’s pathetic. It’s going to be Jimmy Carter 2.0 soon if Trump doesn’t FINISH THE DAMN JOB.

He will. He is being patient. As long as there is a possibility of a peaceful resolution, he's going to give that a chance. I don't think it will be long before he drops the hammer.
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Trump was bragging it was over in 3 days. Mission Accomplished 2.0 it looks like now if he lets this Iranian Death Cult Islamofascist regime survive.

That whole Mission Accomplished story was an invention of the libtard media. They portrayed it as the Bush administration taking credit for a job that was not yet finished. The reality is the sign had been put up by the ship's crew in advance of a visit by Bush. They had just returned home from a long deployment in the Middle East. THEIR mission had indeed been accomplished.
40
LP--

Even the best CT'ers and LNT'ers seem vulnerable to certain CT eccentricities.

Both groups remind me of lawyers, PR representatives or partisans arguing a case.

If I say I have reasonable doubts Gov. JBC held onto his Stetson hat in his right hand after being shot through the right wrist by large slug that tumbled inside his wrist (the WC LNT SBT) an LNT'er will then say my doubts are unreasonable. I say Cyril Wecht agrees with me. The LNT'ers say Wecht was a bum. And so on.

On the CT side, I say I think nothing funny happened at Bethesda, other than perhaps a less-than-stellar autopsy. I am told I work for the CIA.

So it goes.

Maybe Wecht wasn't a bum!

Maybe he was the only one who was right, and the eight other forensic pathologists on the HSCA panel were bums or ... gasp ... compromised by the evil, evil, evil CIA!

That must be it!
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