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21
JFK Assassination Discussion & Debate / Re: The First Shot
« Last post by Tom Graves on Today at 08:24:38 PM »
But Oswald could have fired earlier as the car passed under the tree as the car was never really obscured from view.

[image deleted]

We don't really know that he wouldn't have fired through a few leaves.  But he could have tracked JFK while he passed under the tree branches and fired as soon as he was clear.  That would have been here:

[image deleted]

when JFK had just passed the lamp post and had not yet reached the Thornton sign.  That is between z190 and z200.
The difference in downward angle is not much - about three degrees, which is within the error range of the estimates of the angles that JFK was leaning forward from the horizontal as he travelled down Elm St. based in the Croft photo and his subsequent movements.  [Note: The FBI measured downward angles at z222 to be 20°23' and at z207 as 21°50' a difference of 1°27' over 15 frames. Extrapolating that another 15 frames back to z192 the downward horizontal angle would be 23°17', a difference of 2°54'.] See: CE884, 17H902.

If you'll scroll down to page 18, you see Oswald's view of the limo at "Z-124," half-a-second before Zapruder resumed filming at Z-133.

https://d7922adf-f499-4a26-96d4-8ab2d521fa35.usrfiles.com/ugd/d7922a_e280e26982b44f2c97c6e6e27026e385.pdf
22
The 3 stacked boxes suggest the shooter was going to shoot with rifle sticking partly out the window. Unless Malcolm Couch , Bob Jackson and Amos Euins were encouraged to fabricate a story, their WC testimony confirms this was the plan, since they all saw a rifle stuck OUT the window.

There is no logical reason why Oswald or some other TSBD shooter would try a pot shot while standing at Z124.

The rifle was found with the scope so out of alignment that a shim had  to be inserted under the mount itself to change the mount angle. The metal bracket that held  the scope was not bent, so it appears that the rifle was assembled without the shim on purpose.

It could be Oswald never had intended to use the scope , and assembled the rifle without the requisite shim to introduce speculation about the rifle being planted after the fact.

This might have been a fantasy in Oswald’s OCD mind of acquiring infamy after a trial jury would be convinced he was in fact a patsy.

As to Why Clint Hill did not hear a shot before Z224, there’s the volume of crowd noise to consider besides just some motorcycle noise and some possible desensitization of the SS to sudden 100 db level motorcycle backfires they had probably already experienced multiple times during the whole motorcade trip.

Ok that is about as far to the LN side that I dare venture otherwise my credibility as a CT Skeptic would in jeopardy  :)

One thing we will never know is what Oswald was thinking because he never told us. Unless you want to conduct a seance, I doubt he ever will.

We don't know whether Oswald used the scope or the fixed sights although I lean toward him using the scope. From my own limited experience, I know the scope is a great aid in quickly reacquiring the target. It is much easier to put the cross hairs on the target the target then getting the front and rear sights properly aligned on the target. Both the scope and the fixed sights would aim high at the range Oswald fired at. As the WCR pointed out, this would actually aid a shooter firing at a moving target since he would need to lead the target with his aim. Oswald might have known this and taken it into account, or it could have been just blind dumb luck. What we do know is the Carcano was the murder weapon because the ballistics matching clearly establishes that. Not only was Oswald's Carcano positively matched to the recovered bullets, but no other bullets from any other rifle were ever recovered. Why do you suppose that is?
23
Professor Pearcy's Bad History Lesson

Professor Thomas Pearcy is the supposed CIA whistleblower who allegedly saw CIA documents which indicated the agency fooled G. Robert Blakey of the HSCA. He gave a speech last week in Indiana and here is an analysis of his speech -- and a full transcript. He didn't sound like a professor of history -- he just sounded like a JFK conspiracy theorist. Why would anybody take him seriously?

https://www.onthetrailofdelusion.com/post/professor-pearcy-s-bad-history-lesson

Interestingly, probable KGB mole Bruce Solie, father-figure-requiring James Angleton's confidant, mentor, and mole-hunting superior in the Office of Security, did hide documents from the Church Committee and the HSCA.

Just one example: Richard Case Nagell

https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/SECURITY%20FILE%20NAGEL%2C%20RICH%5B16505869%5D.pdf
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Readers who have seen our previous exchanges on this issue will see that you are now just lying through your teeth and are continuing to simply make up nonsense, not to mention that you are acting like a rude teenager who knows he's losing the argument--and losing it badly.

This from the guy who claimed I had cited Guinn's findings when I hadn't even mentioned him in this thread. Clean up your own act before you start accusing others of lying.
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They'll see that you are still ducking the skull x-rays from the WC's headshot wound-ballistics test, which show minimal bullet fragmentation. They'll see that I've quoted a number of forensic and ballistics experts on the behavior of FMJ bullets, and that you obviously have no answer for the cold, hard facts about FMJ bullet behavior.

Refuting your FUBAR conclusions is not ducking. I applied critical thinking to your claims and pointed out the flaws in your logic. That is not ducking/.
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They will find it odd that you comically accuse me of not providing sources when I have provided numerous sources (including page numbers therein) for my statements, and when you almost never provide any sources to back up your bogus claims.


I provided a link to the ENTIRE Science Direct article instead of following you standard practice of clipping a few short sentences out of context and then putting your own spin on what it mean.
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They will notice that you still haven't explained the fact that every expert who has examined the medical evidence and commented on it has said the skull damage indicates the bullet was traveling at a high velocity.

I did address this and I pointed out that without a standard definition of what constitutes "high velocity", the observation is meaningless. It tells us nothing about the round in question. Do you know of such a definition? I didn't think so, but that doesn't stop you from using the term to lamely try to make a point.
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If they read the 2022 Science Direct summary article that you linked (I just have to chuckle about this), they will see that the article says the JFK skull damage was done by the "high-speed impact" of a bullet--but, again, the alleged murder weapon was not a high-velocity rifle. They will notice that the study was purely computational and virtual and was not based on any actual JFK headshot wound-ballistics tests. They will notice that the study does not even address the known behavior of FMJ bullets when they strike skull bone. And, they will notice that not one of the four authors of that study had ever written a single article on a forensic/ballistics issue before they wrote their 2022 "ballistic analysis" of JFK's head damage.

Now tell us what Science Direct considered "high velocity". Oh wait, You can't. Never mind.
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(The four authors' previous articles deal with such subjects as the viscoelasticity of human gluteal tissue, metabolic consequences of persistence of visceral obesity and diabetes, radiation dose-dependent skin toxicity, the adhesion and invasion of renal cell carcinoma cells, strategy of robotic surgeons to exert public influence through Twitter, laser-induced thermotherapy using MR thermometry, vitamin D deficiency in orthopedic patients, cartilage chip transplantation for cartilage defects, and periprosthetic joint infection and low vitamin D levels. What happened to your phony position that only the opinions of forensic experts who have examined the autopsy materials at the National Archives count?)

When you aren't lying, you are telling half-truths which is just as bad. I have cited the forensic experts who have examined the medical evidence. I have never said that they are the only ones that count. I have cited the work of the Haags on ballistics. I have rejected your practice of citing  "experts" who are commenting on fields outside of their area of expertise.
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They will find it especially odd that you are still claiming that "every forensic expert" who has examined and commented on the JFK medical evidence has "concluded JFK was shot from above and behind," when I've proved to you that this is not true,

My aching Bahookie. Name one FORENSIC MEDICAL EXPERT who has seen the medical evidence who has disagreed with the original autopsy conclusion that JFK was struck by two bullets fired from behind him. That doesn't include radiation oncologists. That doesn't include ophthalmologists. It doesn't include gynecologists. These are the kinds of doctors you typically cite to try and make your FUBAR points.
Quote
 

and when this does not even address the issue of the ammo's behavior. They will also find it quite revealing that you once again allude to Guinn's debunked NAA findings. And on and on I could go.

Another of your half-truths. I have never cited Guinn to support any argument I have made. In response to another poster who suggested that the lead fragments from the JBC's wrist and JFK's head be compared to the recovered bullets, I pointed out that this had already been done. This is what I actually wrote on the matter"

"Actually, fragments from the brain were compared to the fragments found inside the limo and fragments from JBC's wrist were compared to CE399, both by the FBI in 1964 and by Dr. Vincent Guinn for the HSCA in 1977. Ken Rahn wrote an excellent article about it. Rather than put my own spin on what those tests did or didn't prove, I'll post the article and everyone can decide for themselves.

https://kenrahn.com/JFK/Scientific_topics/NAA/NAA_and_JFK_assassination.html"

I neither endorsed nor refuted Guinn's findings and as I said, left it up to the reader to make their own judgement. You resort to your practice of telling half truths have suggested that I endorsed Guinn's findings, which I most certainly did not do. But that didn't stop you from making your knee-jerk reaction to what I wrote.
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You see, I know that you're never going to deal with this issue in an honest, credible manner. I realize that. You've proved in spades. You've done nothing but duck and dodge and grasp and blunder in trying to explain the fact that the ammo that hit JFK's head behaved nothing like FMJ ammo.

You are the last person on this forum who should be pontificating about honesty.
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Let me refresh your memory with quotes from Dr. DiMaio's internationally acclaimed forensic book Gunshot Wounds that I've presented to you several times now and that you just keep dodging:

An x-ray of an individual shot with a full metal-jacketed rifle bullet . . . usually fails to reveal any bullet fragments at all even if the bullet has perforated bone such as the skull or spine.If any fragments are seen, they are very sparse in number. . . .[./u](Gunshot Wounds, p. 166)

In x-rays of through-and-through gunshot wounds, the presence of small fragments of metal along the wound track virtually rules out full metal-jacketed ammunition.. . . In rare instances involving full metal-jacketed centerfire rifle bullets, a few small, dust-like fragments of lead may be seen on x-ray if the bullet perforates bone. One of the most characteristic x-rays and one that will indicate the type of weapon and ammunition used is that seen from centerfire rifles firing hunting ammunition. In such a case, one will see a 'lead snowstorm'. . . . Such a picture rules out full metal-jacketed rifle ammunition or a shotgun slug. (Gunshot Wounds, p. 318, emphasis added)

Again, did you catch that? Did you see where DiMaio said (1) in the "rare" cases when FMJ bullets do fragment if they penetrate bone, they will only leave "a few" fragments, and (2) if an x-ray shows a "lead snowstorm," this "rules out" FMJ ammo?

But, of course, I'm fairly certain you'll just continue to lie, duck, dodge, grasp, and blunder about this fact.

BTW, if rifles are almost never used in gunshot cases involving headshots except in wartime, why do forensic and ballistics sources state that FMJ bullets will not shatter into dozens of tiny fragments when striking skull bone? What is their basis for saying this? Huh?

I bet I know: I bet they base that statement of fact on known forensic cases. If the present is any indication of the past, then this should not be surprising. Why? Well, in 2020 and 2021 rifles were used in murders over 900 times; rifles were used 570 times in 2022 murders; rifles were used 533 times in 2023 murders, and rifles were used 401 times in 2024 murders (https://www.gunowners.org/wp-content/uploads/FBI_UCR_Expanded_Homicide_Data_Table_8_Murder_Victims_by_Weapon_2020-2024-1.pdf).

If only 10% of those cases involved headshots with FMJ ammo, that would make over 230 cases involving headshots with FMJ ammo, and, again, FMJ ammo is one of the three most common types of ammo.

So you can drop your bogus claim that we have very little information on the behavior of FMJ bullets when they hit skulls. We also have the WC's, Lattimer's, and Fackler's headshot wound ballistics tests, none of which produced FMJ bullets that shattered into dozens of fragments, not to mention FMJ bullets that also deposited several small fragments on the outer table of the skull upon impact, created a fragment trail disconnected from any entry wound, and magically deposited two fragments at the opposite and of the skull at least 1 inch from any fragment trail.

I have pointed out to you how infrequently any type of rifle is used in homicides in the US and those involving rifle fired FMJ bullets to the skull would be a tiny fraction of rifle homicides. Even smaller would be those involving 6.5mm Carcano bullets would be the only meaningful comparison to the JFK assassination. Everything else is apples to oranges. It would not surprise me at all if JFK was the only person murder in the USA by such a bullet fired into the skull, given how unusual that particular rifle and round are. Even though the Carcano has become a collector's item, finding the same type of ammo Oswald fired is difficult. There are a number of dealers selling 6.5X52mm Carcano compatible rounds, but the FMJ round nosed bullet is quite rare. There are pointy tipped FMJ rounds available and also rounded lead bullets, but that is not what Oswald fired.
25
Dear Jake "Mr. Magoo" Maxwell,

Have you always been paranoiac?

-- Tom

You might be proving my point here....
26
The 3 stacked boxes suggest the shooter was going to shoot with rifle sticking partly out the window. Unless Malcolm Couch , Bob Jackson and Amos Euins were encouraged to fabricate a story, their WC testimony confirms this was the plan, since they all saw a rifle stuck OUT the window.

There is no logical reason why Oswald or some other TSBD shooter would try a pot shot while standing at Z124.

The rifle was found with the scope so out of alignment that a shim had  to be inserted under the mount itself to change the mount angle. The metal bracket that held  the scope was not bent, so it appears that the rifle was assembled without the shim on purpose.

It could be Oswald never had intended to use the scope , and assembled the rifle without the requisite shim to introduce speculation about the rifle being planted after the fact.

This might have been a fantasy in Oswald’s OCD mind of acquiring infamy after a trial jury would be convinced he was in fact a patsy.

As to Why Clint Hill did not hear a shot before Z224, there’s the volume of crowd noise to consider besides just some motorcycle noise and some possible desensitization of the SS to sudden 100 db level motorcycle backfires they had probably already experienced multiple times during the whole motorcade trip.

Ok that is about as far to the LN side that I dare venture otherwise my credibility as a CT Skeptic would in jeopardy  :)
27
JFK Assassination Discussion & Debate / Re: The First Shot
« Last post by Andrew Mason on Today at 07:47:16 PM »
In Graves world, motorcycle noise only masked the unaimed  Z124 shot fired by the TSBD 6th floor shooter standing up despite that he had  stacked 3 boxes to use as a rifle rest. He did that because…  only Tom knows  :D

In Andrew’s world, the TSBD 6th floor shooter decided to shoot thru the tree foliage at Z190. Although no one else is reacting at Z190, the Willis girl has slowed down running and is about to stop completely at about Z200 and look back to TSBD.

But Oswald could have fired earlier as the car passed under the tree as the car was never really obscured from view.


We don't really know that he wouldn't have fired through a few leaves.  But he could have tracked JFK while he passed under the tree branches and fired as soon as he was clear.  That would have been here:



when JFK had just passed the lamp post and had not yet reached the Thornton sign.  That is between z190 and z200.

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The Z190 1st shot went thru JFKs back and then exited his throat even though that vertical  angle is more downward than the Z224 angle. Somebody needs to tell Myers to fudge a new computer model to align a Z190 shot with the back and throat wound if Andrew’s theory ever becomes a new  LN standard.
The difference in downward angle is not much - about three degrees, which is within the error range of the estimates of the angles that JFK was leaning forward from the horizontal as he travelled down Elm St. based in the Croft photo and his subsequent movements.  [Note: The FBI measured downward angles at z222 to be 20°23' and at z207 as 21°50' a difference of 1°27' over 15 frames. Extrapolating that another 15 frames back to z192 the downward horizontal angle would be 23°17', a difference of 2°54'.] See: CE884, 17H902.
28
        There are far better/clearer copies of this image. But, you obviously have Not searched them out. What new? There are also images of Euins holding his hat. It is NOT a Pork Pie Hat.  Which ALL goes back to what I frequently mention in connection to Yourself. Your JFK Assassination Foundational Knowledge is extremely limited. You have a computer, but consistently refuse to put in the time to expand your JFK Assassination foundation. In short, You Are Lazy.   

Dear Stormtrooper Storing,

You sound desperate.

Do you agree that the person we're talking about is a black kid?

Do you agree that he's Amos Euins?

What kind of hat do you think Euins has in those other images?

A fedora?

A baseball cap?

A beanie with a propeller like you're probably wearing?

-- Tom


29
Professor Pearcy's Bad History Lesson

Professor Thomas Pearcy is the supposed CIA whistleblower who allegedly saw CIA documents which indicated the agency fooled G. Robert Blakey of the HSCA. He gave a speech last week in Indiana and here is an analysis of his speech -- and a full transcript. He didn't sound like a professor of history -- he just sounded like a JFK conspiracy theorist. Why would anybody take him seriously?

https://www.onthetrailofdelusion.com/post/professor-pearcy-s-bad-history-lesson

I have told Morley and others that Pearcy's story is highly implausible, to put it gently. I've worked at the kinds of sites Pearcy says he worked at. His account of finding classified files on the JFK case strikes me as wildly unlikely and foreign to my experience at classified sites. I find it very hard to believe that files would have been labeled with the titles he claims to have seen on them, much less that they would have been left out for anyone to peruse, especially in a SCIF. His story is just unbelievable to me.

I've explained these thing to CTers who are pushing his story, but they won't listen.

30
Because I left David Von Pein unable to answer why the authorities allowed Lovelady to not answer why he never told the original 1963 investigation he saw Oswald leave through the front door?...The HSCA stayed miles away from that lest they provoke investigation in to it that asked why the authorities avoided identifying the cop who stopped Oswald in the Lobby...You can tell when you've scored good points when the opposition changes the subject from the material and the evidence to yourself and reduces the thread to name-calling...

Why would they bother having Lovelady testify to something that was already known. Robert McNeil and an AP report whose name I can't remember off hand both encountered Oswald as they entered the building to find a phone.
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When Bart Kamp was let back on The Education Forum he did not open with his claim to fame the Prayer Man theory...If the Prayer Man theory were valid it would break the back of the Warren Commission and solve the assassination...So you would think the researcher whose name was connected to it the most would stand behind such an important discovery on his return to the forum...The reason Kamp posted Oswald In Finland as his return to The Education Forum is because he doesn't believe in the Prayer Man theory...He knows I've proven it is BS...This is what the clique does...Under "Replies are closed to further comments" Andrew Iler the membership stays quiet and helps Kamp along with his shedding of the Prayer Man snake skin and using Oswald In Finland as a distraction from Kamp's now infamous self-destruction with a garbage theory...Kamp has the personal servants Iler and DiEugenio to help him along and the membership stays quiet lest it also be punished for challenging these site-dominating bullies...This is how they roll...They quietly drop their embarrassing bogus theory while keeping the vicious censorship and banning of the guy who disproved it...They have warm memories of James Gordon and his intellectual assassination of those who disproved them...

i don't know, nor do I care, who Prayer Man was. He/she had nothing to do with the assassination. Nobody who watched the motorcade from in front of the TSBD had any involvement. The only thing that puzzles me is why anybody else cares.
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