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11
James,

Was Arce wearing a suit that day, as the "Shelley" figure appears to be doing in the enlarged high-rez frame and the cropped-and-enhanced frames from Couch-Darnell that you can see by scrolling down a bit in this article at a certain website?

http://www.prayer-man.com/tsbd/billy-nolan-lovelady/

-- Tom
No, but if youi hum a few bars.....
Actually, I've always looked at Arce wearing a long dress coat. I doubt he would be wearing a suit jacket but I don't know. The Couch images from your link shows the "Shelley" figure that could be wearing such a coat or possibly a suit jacket. No way to be sure, in my opinion.

Tom, I'm not sucking up but want to take this oppertunity to thank you for the work you, Larson and one ther fellow IIRC for solving the "Dog's Breakfast Identifications" of Calvery, Stemmons sign women and more along the north side of Elm. You don't get enough credit for that work. However, for this Shelley walking down the Elm St. extension I can't buy into. I believe the heights measured are the "Elephant In The Room" for the Darnell and Shelley walking west on the extension theory. One more rant. When Gerda first published the Couch (or Darnell) animation she captioned it as "Shelley and Darnell?", or maybe (Darnell and Shelley?)-I did not save that image. That was the only time I recall Gerda wavering on an identification. We never see that image posted, to my knowledge. 

If you can come up with a explaination for the "5'6" Shelley appearing ~2-3" taller than 5'8.5" Lovelady height difference I'm posting let me know.

James
12
IOW, every single solitary person or witness who has come forward with information indicating conspiracy was either lying, crazy, or misremembering.

Yep, that's correct. Not sure why it's so hard to understand that. Regarding the topic at hand, do you have any specific rebuttals to Fred's work on Victor Marchetti?
13
If anyone has any questions about the arguments being made by SBT defenders in this thread, please message or email me and I'll address them. Unless something changes, I'm probably not going to spend any more time responding to their strained, evasive arguments.

You'll notice that not one of them is explaining how a bullet exiting the throat wound and shirt slits could have missed the tie knot, and how such a bullet could have weaved around the body of the knot to nick its outer surface on the left area of the bottom half of the knot (and not on the edge).

Sherlock Holmes famously said, "When you eliminate the impossible, however improbable, whatever remains must be the truth." To put it another way, once all impossible scenarios are removed from consideration, the only remaining explanation, even if it seems unlikely, must be the correct one.

In this case, the remaining explanation is eminently probable on its face, and it is proven beyond any rational doubt by JFK's shirt, coat, and tie.

Less than two hours after JFK died, the Parkland Hospital doctors held a press conference. During the presser, Dr. Malcolm Perry identified the throat wound as an entrance wound three times. Dr. Perry, who had much more experience with gunshot wounds than Humes or Boswell, diagnosed the throat wound as an entry wound because it was small (3-5 mm), neat, circular, and punched-in, and because of the damage he saw behind the wound.

We have the transcript of the press conference, but not any film footage of it. Why? How could this be? Because the Secret Service confiscated all film footage of the presser, and it has not surfaced since then.

Moreover, the Secret Service lied to the WC and said they could not locate the films or the transcript of the press conference. Thanks to the ARRB, we now know that the Secret Service had the transcript in their possession by 11/26, four days after the shooting.

With no film or transcript of the press conference, the WC claimed that press reports that quoted Perry as saying the wound was a neat puncture wound were inaccurate, and that all the journalists at the presser somehow misunderstood what Perry said. The Commission even pressured Perry into endorsing this claim.

The Church Committee discovered in the 1970s that the Secret Service pressured Dr. Perry to change his story long before he testified before the WC.

It gets worse. Journalist Martin Steadman and two other journalists spoke with Dr. Perry about a week after the assassination. Steadman knew that Perry had identified the throat wound as an entrance wound at the 11/22 press conference. Steadman wrote that Dr. Perry said he thought the throat wound was an entrance wound because the hole was small, circular, and clean (not ragged). Perry added that he had treated hundreds of patients with gunshot wounds and knew the difference between an exit wound and entrance wound.

Steadman reported that Dr. Perry then told him that during the night of the assassination, he got several phone calls from the doctors at Bethesda. He said they were very upset about his statement that the neck wound was an entry wound.

Let me pause to note that this debunks the autopsy doctors' lie that they knew nothing about the throat wound until the morning after the autopsy. The Parkland press conference had been widely reported on by major news outlets. Even without Dr. Perry's disclosure, it would be hard to believe that the autopsy doctors heard nothing about the throat wound until the morning after the autopsy.

Anyway, to continue. Steadman reported that Perry said that the autopsy doctors asked him if he or another Parkland doctor had turned over the body to see the wound in Kennedy’s back. Perry said they had not. They then argued that he could not therefore be certain about the throat wound, that there was no evidence of a shot from the front, and that he should stop saying the throat wound was an entrance wound.

Moreover, Steadman said that Dr. Perry told him that when he insisted he could only say what he believed to be true, one or more of the autopsy doctors told him he would be brought before a medical board if he continued to insist on his story. Perry said they even threatened that he would lose his medical license.

Crucially, Parkland nurse Audrey Bell confirmed in her 1997 ARRB interview that Dr. Perry told her that he received several calls on the night of the assassination from Bethesda Naval Hospital pressuring him to change his story about the throat wound:

Saturday morning, when I got over there, Dr. Perry came up to
the office. I said, "You look awful. Did you get any sleep last night?"

He said, "Well, not too much, between the calls from Bethesda
that came in during the night." ["Bethesda" refers to Bethesda Naval
Hospital, where the autopsy was performed.]

I said, "What about?"

He said, "Oh, whether that was an entrance wound or an exit wound
in the throat."

He said, "They were wanting me to change my mind."
(https://history-matters.com/archive/jfk/arrb/medical_interviews/audio/ARRB_Bell.htm)

All of this makes perfect sense when we acknowledge the hard physical evidence that no bullet could have exited the throat and shirt slits without tearing through the tie, that no such bullet could have magically flown around the knot and nicked its outer surface, which facts in turn confirm that the throat wound was above the tie knot and could have only been an entry wound.
14
If this is the case, then Lovelady was told about 70 secs post shots by Truly to guard the elevators yes?

If Lovelady is guarding the rear elevators, then the west rear elevator that supposedly had  Jack Dougherty operating it from 5th floor, never made it to the 1st floor, because surely Lovelady would have seen Dougherty ( and also Eddie Piper)?

Curiously when Victoria Adams went back inside the TSBD after a few more minutes post shots had elapsed ( unsure how many?) she went up to the 2nd floor and saw Luke Mooney trying to unsuccessfully operate the west elevator stuck on the 2nd floor.

So this suggests that the shooter was on the west elevator and  had brought it down to the 2nd floor, where he exited from it leaving it stuck on the 2nd floor.

The WC tried to establish that Jack Dougherty was using the west elevator, and brought it all the way down to 1st floor but this now is not very probable if Lovelady is at the rear elevators  being told by Truly to guard them at 70 secs post shots. And Eddie Piper never verified seeing Dougherty either.

Why did not Oswald in the 2nd floor lunchroom (confronted by Baker  90 sec post shots) see the shooter exiting the west elevator some 10-15 seconds later?

Answer: Because Oswald went into the 2nd floor office thru the vestibule door and was about to meet Mrs Reid, when the shooter exited the west elevator on 2nd floor.

Why did not Truly or Baker see the west elevator coming down, as they ascended the staircases?

Answer: Because the staircase is an L shaped type encased in walls, which blocks LOS about 50% of the ascent trek. So the coin flipped in the shooters favor and he was unseen.

Why did not Dorothy Garner see the west elevator going down?

It’s again another 50% coin flip in favor of the shooter  because it must have been at about the point Garner was looking at Baker and Truly ascending the staircase to 4th floor, when the west elevator went past the 4th floor.

Oswald therefore, could not have been the  6th floor shooter because the west elevator was seen motionless on the 5th floor by Truly looking up the shaft at 70 secs post shots. Thus Oswald starting at 75 secs operating west elevator would not make it to the 2nd floor lunchroom in time to be seen by Baker IN the lunchroom at 85-90 secs post shots.

And likewise, Oswald certainly would not make it down in time using the staircases , let alone having to pass by Mrs Garner in the 4th floor standing by the west window, for Oswald to be seen by Baker already IN the 2nd floor lunchroom at 85-90 secs  post shots.

So the shooter is either Jack Dougherty ( with no alibi, not seen by Piper nor Lovelady /Shelly on 1st floor, )or there was some other TSBD employee with no alibi, or there was some professional “contractor” whom was the shooter.

And the shooter stopped the west elevator at the 2nd floor where it stayed until Luke Mooney and Adams met there several minutes posts shots.

The shooter could have exited out of the 2nd floor west side window by the rear staircase , onto the rooftop of the annex bldg portion attached to TSBD then dropped to ground kind of like that  most recent psycho assassin did.
15
20250917 Revision of my Shelley-Lovelady-Arce post from 2018 (Prayer Woman thread). The calculated heights were not revised.

Alan Ford
Re: Prayer Woman
« Reply #955 on: July 01, 2018, 01:29:48 PM »

I'm pretty sure the man in black in Couch is not Bill Shelley but Danny Arce!


Alan,
That looks like a great call, as the determined heights of Bill Shelley and Danny Arce will show.

Using my Dealey Plaza 3D model I measured the apparent heights for Arce, Williams, and Shelley as they are escorted to a police car. In the animation I included Billy Lovelady popping-in next to Shelley for the group photo. Results for their heights are as follows:

Arce      5'11”
Williams   6' 2.5”
Detective   5' 9”
Lovelady   5' 8.5” (from other sources)
Shelley   5'6”


The next animation compares a 5’8.5” Lovelady with a 5’6” Shelley and 5’11” Danny Arce with a Couch frame. To make these renderings I used my on-site measurement for the curb height of 9”. I also added a Lovelady stand-in, who's calculated height does fit nicely with the alleged Lovelady in Couch. The height analysis shows that the two men in Couch could include Billy Lovelady, but not Bill Shelley. Danny Arce is a good fit as the taller man.


Where do you get that Shelley was 5'6”?
16
20250917 Revision of my Shelley-Lovelady-Arce post from 2018 (Prayer Woman thread). The calculated heights were not revised.

Alan Ford
Re: Prayer Woman
« Reply #955 on: July 01, 2018, 01:29:48 PM »

I'm pretty sure the man in black in Couch is not Bill Shelley but Danny Arce!


Alan,
That looks like a great call, as the determined heights of Bill Shelley and Danny Arce will show.

Using my Dealey Plaza 3D model I measured the apparent heights for Arce, Williams, and Shelley as they are escorted to a police car. In the animation I included Billy Lovelady popping-in next to Shelley for the group photo. Results for their heights are as follows:

Arce      5'11”
Williams   6' 2.5”
Detective   5' 9”
Lovelady   5' 8.5” (from other sources)
Shelley   5'6”


The next animation compares a 5’8.5” Lovelady with a 5’6” Shelley and 5’11” Danny Arce with a Couch frame. To make these renderings I used my on-site measurement for the curb height of 9”. I also added a Lovelady stand-in, who's calculated height does fit nicely with the alleged Lovelady in Couch. The height analysis shows that the two men in Couch could include Billy Lovelady, but not Bill Shelley. Danny Arce is a good fit as the taller man.


Excellent work, as usual, James.
Hopefully it puts this issue to rest once and for all.
It is clear, watching the part of the Darnell clip this identification is taken from, that the two men are not walking together. The 'Lovelady' figure starts off well behind the 'Shelley' figure but in the very brief clip he rapidly passes him by and is far out in front of him by the end of it. If the clip had run just a couple of seconds more 'Lovelady' would have been out of sight.
The Elm Street identification is based on the claims made by Shelley and Lovelady during their WC testimonies, that after the shooting they walked along the Elm Street extension towards the railroad yards. Isn't it strange that those who buy this claim forget that Shelley and Lovelady also claimed they were on the steps for at least 3 minutes before Gloria showed up, that they then went across to what both men refer to as the "little, old island" where they stayed for a further minute or two before heading along the extension. This, of course, is flatly contradicted by the fact the Darnell footage in question was taken 25 - 30 seconds after the headshot.
Why accept one part of their testimonies but ignore the rest?

A close analysis of this Chris Davidson GIF - https://drive.google.com/file/d/1vobiYYwTLsuR63NZ0vX9ytxXNjlW4g8D/view?pli=1 - reveals that Karan Hicks (the woman in white) has reached the bottom step and is just beginning to climb them. This tells us that as the Darnell footage is capturing the moment that Hicks and Calvery arrive at the steps. They have only just arrived at the steps and Gloria has just begun to tell everyone there that the President has been shot. This moment is recalled by both Lovelady and Buell Frazier in their WC testimonies.
It is simply impossible for the Elm Street identification to be correct.
Just as your own excellent analysis has confirmed.
17
JFK Assassination Plus General Discussion And Debate / Re: U.S. Politics
« Last post by Tom Graves on Yesterday at 10:00:40 PM »
Magnificent to see England treating President Trump with all the dignity and respect that America deserves.  A stark contrast with how they were laughing at Biden's weakness.

Smith,

Are you a Russian troll?

You sound like a Russian troll.
18
JFK Assassination Plus General Discussion And Debate / Re: U.S. Politics
« Last post by Richard Smith on Yesterday at 09:49:58 PM »
Magnificent to see England treating President Trump with all the dignity and respect that America deserves.  A stark contrast with how they were laughing at Biden's weakness. 
19
Because I just love it when CTers get into an internecine cat fight, I have continued to monitor the identical thread that Michael started at the Ed Forum. Cliff Varnell, who is the godfather of the Impossible Clothing Argument, says "Forget the damn necktie, willya??? We don't need it!"

I had failed to appreciate the subtlety of Cliff's argument. I thought he was positing a CIA melting ice bullet for the frontal throat wound and a dud Carcano round falling out of the shallow back wound. Cliff wisely points out that the back wound wasn't THAT shallow and a Carcano bullet wouldn't have simply fallen out.

For the back wound - and perhaps the throat wound as well - Cliff now posits a "blood soluble" bullet as developed for the CIA at the Army Biological Laboratory at Fort Detrick (MD) in connection with something called MKNAOMI, which you can read about here: https://www.archives.gov/files/research/jfk/releases/178-10004-10087.pdf. (Any document with "shellfish toxin" and "hand-launchers loaded with dog incapacitant" in it is worth reading, no?)

Wow, huh? Bad guys with blood-soluble bullets at both the front and rear! I had previously thought Lin Soo Mknaomi was just a South Korean professional golfer on the LPGA Tour, but now I'm starting to come around to Cliff's way of thinking on this.
20
I apologize for interrupting James' excellent work with my silliness, but opportunities to needle Tom simply cannot be resisted. His obsession with Gloria Calvery dates back something like 20 years, and it's mostly lost on me. All efforts to make Bill Shelley into the Second Most Interesting Man in the World are likewise lost on me. Since he consistently, from 11-22-63 to the WC, placed Oswald on the first floor at 11:50, I have a hard time picturing him as a conspirator - let alone a CIA operative or Oswald's FPCC leafletting buddy in New Orleans. I've never thought the two Sidewalk Guys were anyone other than Shelley and Lovelady, and Alan Ford's stuff has always just made my head hurt. Perhaps someone can explain the significance of all this to me?

Ah, I see that WC Sham Guy Dan has started Yet Another Calvery Thread that explains what a CTer thinks the significance is. Shelley was induced to dramatically change his story in order to accommodate the WC Sham but kept placing Oswald on the first floor at 11:50 when he could have just Shut the Hell Up about that? Well, perhaps ....

Oh, dear, my head is spinning. Over at Prayer Man, they are convinced (and make rather a good case with enhanced photos) that it is Shelley and Lovelady walking down the sidewalk and that they lied when they said they were on the steps. http://www.prayer-man.com/bill-shelley-and-billy-lovelady-in-the-couch-film/. Isn't this the opposite of what WC Sham Guy Dan says? Given the choice between Bart Kamp and WC Sham Guy Dan on almost anything, I must admit I'd go with Bart.
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