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Recent Posts

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1
I don't think my absolute conviction that Oswald was the assassin is in anyway a character flaw. It is the only reasonable conclusion based on the evidence. There are some things worth being open minded about. The existence of a Supreme Being. The existence of intelligent life elsewhere in the cosmos. But not the possibility of Oswald's innocence. That does not exist. I am proud to be closed minded about that.

I will confess to having a lack of humility. If it weren't for that character flaw, I'd be perfect.

I will pick on John one more time just for fun.

I've previously stated on other threads that John's posts often remind me of my extensive interactions with internet atheists who haunt religion forums.

The ploy of internet atheists is that religious believers are victims of their confirmation biases - indeed, that religious belief is just one big delusion driven by confirmation biases - but that atheists are entirely rational, evidence-driven, critical thinkers, free of any and all confirmation biases.

"My only confirmation bias is toward the truth" could be right out of the mouth of an internet atheist. It is impossible to have a rational discussion with these folks - and all other species of debunkers across all the areas of weirdness in which I have been involved - because evidence simply isn't evidence at all (or at least isn't "credible" or "extraordinary") unless these folks decide it is (and they never do). They get to determine the standard, you see, because they are entirely rational, evidence-driven, critical thinkers while you are hopelessly in the grip of your confirmation biases and wishful thinking.

This is, of course, absurd. Atheists typically are drowning in confirmation biases, at least to the extent of the typical believer. It's their refusal to acknowledge this that stifles discussion. A believer who says "damn right I'd like there to be a benevolent deity and a blissful afterlife" - i.e., who is aware of his own confirmation biases - is far ahead of an atheist or other species of debunker who deludes himself that he doesn't have any such biases.

Thomas Nagel is both a very serious philosopher and an atheist (author of the groundbreaking epistemological paper "What is it like to be a bat?"). He famously admitted his confirmation biases:

"I am talking about something much deeper—namely, the fear of religion itself. I speak from experience, being strongly subject to this fear myself: I want atheism to be true and am made uneasy by the fact that some of the most intelligent and well-informed people I know are religious believers. It isn't just that I don't believe in God and, naturally, hope that I'm right in my belief. It's that I hope there is no God! I don't want there to be a God; I don't want the universe to be like that. My guess is that this cosmic authority problem is not a rare condition and that it is responsible for much of the scientism and reductionism of our time."

One of my pet subjects, as you can tell. I am reminded of my debates with internet atheists - which I enjoyed, up to a point - every time I read John's cocksure posts.

(You folks need a break. Here is "What is it like to be a bat?" - https://www.sas.upenn.edu/~cavitch/pdf-library/Nagel_Bat.pdf)
2
Mark is going to call me a dog with a bone next  :D :D :D, but here's the latest ...

Reviewing the 2025 thread at the Ed Forum, I see the connection Ben is making. He is assuming that Sawyer’s WC testimony, in which he simply confirmed the physical description that he relayed, was referring to the citizen described in the 1/9/64 Airtel as having seen someone running from the TSBD with a rifle. (I was wrong in one statement above: The transmission to all units by Sgt. Henslee did refer to the suspect as “believed to be armed with a .30 caliber rifle.”) But as I have stated, the Airtel is not Sawyer speaking – it is a multiple-hearsay description of what Shanklin is telling Hoover that Malley told him that Batchelor told Drain as to what Sawyer had supposedly said (and we don’t know where Batchelor heard it). There is no compelling reason to make the connection Ben is making – i.e., that Sawyer at the WC was confirming the part about someone running from the TSBD with a rifle.

The provenance of the Airtel is odd. It stands alone, among many other documents, in FBI Oswald Headquarters File (105-82555), Section 64, page 117: https://www.maryferrell.org/showDoc.html?docId=57753#relPageId=117.

At the 2025 thread, Steve Thomas provided further information (as previously gathered by Bill Simpich):

On January 19, 1964, Hoover responded to Rankin concerning the description of Oswald that was broadcast. This is in the same HQ File, page 109: https://www.maryferrell.org/showDoc.html?docId=57753#relPageId=109. Hoover wrote that the DPD said that the description was “by an unidentified citizen who had observed an individual approximating Oswald’s description running from the Texas School Book Depository Building immediately after the assassination. Although this citizen was requested by Dallas authorities to proceed to the Sheriff’s Office for further questioning, he apparently never appeared as the Dallas Sheriff’s Office can locate no record on this citizen.” (How weird would that have been?)

Unless Hoover is just making stuff up to make the issue go away – entirely possible – it sounds as though he had at least a bit more information than was contained in the Airtel. Petrhaps there was a follow-up call that made clear there was nothing on whoever supposedly saw the man running from the TSBD.

On November 12, 1964 – after the WR had been issued – Hoover reiterated to Rankin that the information for the transmitted description came from an unidentified citizen and stated that he didn’t think further follow-up would be productive: https://www.maryferrell.org/showDoc.html?docId=60311#relPageId=72. A follow-up letter from Rankin to Hoover refers to Hoover’s letter of November 12 and the desirability of nailing down the source of the description: https://www.maryferrell.org/showDoc.html?docId=60312#relPageId=33. Simpich says there didn’t seem to be anything further.

At the WC, all that Sawyer could remember was that the information for the description came “mainly from one witness,” a “white man” who “wasn’t young” but “wasn’t old” and who “claimed to have seen the rifle barrel in the fifth or sixth floor of the building, and claimed to have been able to see the man up there.”

That’s Brennan.

My guess: The whole “man running from the rear of the TSBD with a rifle” is a red herring, all flowing from the multiple-hearsay 1/9/64 Airtel. It is inconceivable that if someone had actually said he had seen a man running from the rear of the TSBD with a rifle, Sawyer would have failed to immediately relay this critical information to anyone and would have simply said, “Go on down to the Sheriff’s Office and tell them your story, willya?” At the Ed Forum, however, the whole thing spiraled off into the conspiracy ozone.
3
We're up to 47 pages of Royell Storing trying, and failing miserably, to convince anybody that there was a gloveless impostor policeman in Dealey Plaza. Give it up, man.
4
All available evidence points to the KGB realizing Oswald was of little to no value to them and happily letting him leave the country for good in 1962. What evidence do you have that supports in any way the notion that they got involved with him again as it pertains to the assassination?
5
My understanding is that in a plurality decision a majority of the judges agrees on what the final outcome should be, but not why. So they may write separate opinions as to why they agree with the result but explain their different reasons why they think that should be the result. (There may also be dissenting opinions, but those are not part of the plurality.) No single rationale commands a majority of the judges, so this is why it is not a majority decision. The statement "the controlling precedent is determined by the opinion that concurred in the judgment on the narrowest grounds" is new to me but seems to be correct. For example, a judge who thinks the case should be decided on some procedural technicality would be stating a "narrower ground" than one who thinks it should be decided on some evidential issue.

With a three-member disciplinaty panel, a plurality decision would require at least two of you to agree what the result should be (e.g., suspend the member for 30 days) but not necessarily why. Since you aren't concerned with the precedential value or "narrowest ground" of your decision, you don't have the same concerns as a court. Perhaps your club rules don't even require you to explain your reasoning - just issue a decision. If they require a unanimous decision, then three votes for the same result would satisfy that even though all three members had different reasoning. If they simply require a majority vote, then two votes would satisfy that even though the two members disagree on the reasoning. If the three panel members voted for exoneration, a 30-day suspension and a 60-day suspension, you'd have nothing and would have to hash it out.


Thanks Lance, this situation is more complex and convoluted than anything I could have ever imagined. And there is potentially huge stakes at risk for both sides (if it ever ended up in a court of law where I believe the club would easily loose). I re-wrote the original 1958 bylaws in the late 1980’s. They are and have always been based on Robert’s Rules of Order. What is in the bylaws simply says the report of resolutions is to be signed by every committee member who agrees. We are still at the investigation stage. I am trying to nip things in the bud by reporting that no further action is warranted and eliminating the need for any trial or need for a report of resolutions. But I am encountering loads of resistance due to so much animosity that currently exists. I have quickly become a “bad guy”. It is a colossal nightmarish fiasco.
6
    You claim the DPD did "release" the car. Please provide your Proof that the DPD did "release" the car. Do you know of a single image showing that car NOT being parked in front of the TSBD following the Kill Shot that afternoon?  You are making all kinds of claims that are totally unfounded. I am waiting on You to provide the Evidence to support your Baseless claims.

You are unable to support your claim that the car was ever taken into evidence. You continue to assume things you cannot prove. SOP for you.
7
I doubt anyone who hasn't spent a lot of time around rifles could determine from sound alone whether a rifle was high powered or not. The first time I heard a gun fired was when I went to a Thanksgiving turkey shoot with my Dad. I still remember how I jumped when I first heard the crack of a rifle. They were firing a little old .22 LR. It sure sounded high powered to me.
8
Thank-you for demonstrating my point that “LNs have convinced themselves that JBC is reacting to his torso wound by z230 without looking at the evidence first - just by watching the zfilm.”

The Z-film is the best piece of evidence we have of what happened. We also have JBC's account of how he reacted after being shot in the back and we see him doing what he described in the Z-film. Your willful blindness and refusal to acknowledge what is obvious to most people doesn't change the fact he was shot before Z230.
9
What seems to be lost in the shuffle is that how he acted is evidence. I guarantee you, the things that trouble me would have been emphasized at trial by the defense and might have gone a long way toward "reasonable doubt." This is why I always objected to those who insist on playing defense counsel for Oswald and trying to create reasonable doubt. A criminal trial - which there is obviously never going to be, and wasn't from the moment Ruby shot Oswald - is an entirely different inquiry from the verdict of history. Especially with a Texas jury, it is not at all inconceivable to me that Oswald might have had a fair shot (no pun intended) at being found not guilty. As with OJ, "not guilty" simply means the jurors didn't think the prosecution had proved guilt beyond reasonable doubt; it doesn't mean "innocent" and wouldn't preclude the verdict of history being that Oswald was a lone assassin. I agree with those who object that the WC was too much a one-sided prosecution of Oswald rather than an objective investigation into historical truth.

There is a big difference between OJ and Oswald. OJ was a Hall of Fame football player, a TV commentator, an actor, and a popular celebrity. He also had a million dollar defense team working for him. Oswald would have had none of those going for him. The evidence was more than sufficient to erase reasonable doubt about his guilt. Oswald's only chance would have been if there was a right wing extremist on the jury who hated JFK and was glad he got killed. I'm sure the prosecution would try to weed those people out during voir dire, but jurors sometimes lie to hide their true feelings. I'm sure I don't need to tell you that. All the defense needed was one such person on the jury to block a guilty verdict. Of course there would be a retrial and I doubt the same scenario would play out.

Earl Warren had been a prosecutor and I read somewhere that he said it would have been a short trial and an easy conviction. I have no reason to doubt that. 
10
This is not just any cold blooded killer that we know little if anything about. This is Oswald, someone that we have an understanding of, of what made him tick, of how he acted. I probably know more about his life than any other non-family member (that's pathetic admittedly).

I am fully aware of Oswald's life history. I have no idea what made him tick. He gave few clues. I can only guess why he killed JFK or took the shot at General Walker. I have no idea if Maria's refusal to reconcile was the last straw that made him go ahead with the assassination. He clearly intended to do that when he returned to Irving on Thursday night with a makeshift paper bag. Would he have changed his mind if she had agreed to get back together. Maybe. Who knows? I sure don't.

I have no idea if he had any plan for after he did the deed. I think he was surprised he escaped the TSBD, but that is no more than a guess. I have no idea where he was going or what he intended to do after he retrieved his handgun from his rooming house. Nobody knows what was going on inside Oswald's head because he didn't tell anyone and left behind no manifesto or any other writings that might have explained why he did what he did.
Quote

As Marina pointed out in that passage I cited, before making any major decisions in his life he planned things out, showed nervousness during that stage, acted erratically, e.g., beating her, having anxiety/panic attacks in his sleep. There's a record of how he acted. The defection to the USSR, the return to the US, the Walker attempt, the Mexico City trip. Simply choose one: the Walker attempt vs. the JFK assassination.

In the assassination we don't see anything resembling that pattern.

I think it is folly to try to make sense of a senseless act.
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