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1
I see you started a thread about the Sawyer memo at the Ed Forum a year ago, which turned into an extended discussion: https://educationforum.ipbhost.com/topic/31442-alan-fords-sawyer-memo/.

I think Pat Speer's take on the memo is probably correct:

It's clear to me that Sawyer conflated what he heard from a number of witnesses. The general description matches Brennan's first day statements. The Winchester comes from Euins' recollection of the sounds made by the rifle. These witnesses were filmed and photographed talking to the police, moreover. Long story short, the search for a mystery witness based upon some inconsistencies is folly, much as the reliance upon Holmes' delayed recollection Oswald said he was upstairs (something seized upon by the Bugliosi crowd) is folly.

Larry Hancock noted that it would be very odd for a witness to describe the age, height and weight but say absolutely nothing about the clothing.

The only way anyone would legitimately describe a rifle as a Winchester would be by seeing a lever action. If Euins described it as a Winchester based on the sound, that would be completely irrelevant.

So now we have an assassination plot with two gunman in the TSBD and their weapons of choice are a Mannlicher-Carcano and a Winchester lever-action? And they are both white males of almost exactly the same age and size? And one leaves the rifle and runs down the stairwell while the other runs out the back entrance carrying his rifle in full view? Weird conspiracy.

Where did the 30-30 bullets go? Maybe the Winchester guy panicked and ran without firing?

As Jonathan Cohen noted on the Ed Forum thread, isn't this the standard CT modus operandi - i.e., take an obscure document citing "an unidentified individual" that no one has ever regarded as being of particular significance and declare it the "smoking gun" that "proves a conspiracy"?
2
DVP -

Yes, it certainly occurred to me that allowing the "holding a coke" affidavit to see the light of day, even with the crossing-out by Baker, cuts against it having any dark significance. Still, considering how critical the issue is, it would have been wonderful if someone had grilled Baker and the FBI agent who (apparently) prepared it about the circumstances of its preparation and what (if anything) was said when Baker crossed it out. My point was more in the vein of how almost spooky it is that the JFKA is plagued with this sort of weirdness at every twist and turn; pretty much nothing is ever clean and simple.

And Bugliosi is certainly correct that Baker's and Truly's emphasis on how calm and collected Oswald was cuts against them having been coached to say the "right" thing. My puzzlement is strictly with this calm and collected behavior.
3

See memo below---

1. Part of the JFKA lore is that a JFKA suspect description went out on Dallas PD radio within moments of the assassination, that was identical to intel-state descriptions of LHO. This suggests the intel-state "planted" the radio-identification, as part of the larger Deep State JFKA plot.

But this memo below (dated 1/9/64) reports that DPD Inspector Sawyer (a senior DPD official) was told by a TSBD witness that he (the witness) had seen a white male approximately 30, slender, 5' 10," 165 "run" from the TSBD carrying a 30-30 or Winchester-type rifle, in the aftermath of the JFKA.
 
Sawyer called in the info and description to DPD dispatch--if this memo is correct, then Sawyer, and not the Deep State, was the source of the DPD radio LHO-ID.

Sawyer failed to get the witness' name and contact info, which seems like an improbable lapse, but perhaps Sawyer was justifiably concerned there might be armed suspects about yet who might inflict additional harm, and thought it best to secure the area first, and collect witnesses later.

2. A Winchester-type rifle is also what eyewitness Amos Euins somewhat hesitantly described as being fired from the TSBD6 sniper's nest.

3. Of course, this Sawyer report strains common sense in some regards---what assassin, in the near-immediate aftermath of the JFKA, would "run" from the TSBD, in public view, while obviously carrying a rifle?

4. Yet, sometimes ascribing logic to human behavior is not always judicious. People blunder, panic, make poor plans. And even the best laid plans of mice and men....perhaps the departing assassin, in his excitement, forgot to wear a trench-coat, but did not want to leave a traceable rifle inside the TSBD. The apparent assassin was reduced to making a run for it. Well, I have seen many a plan collapse too. Remember, whoever perped the JFKA had only three days to get ready, after the motorcade route was published on Nov. 19.

4. The date of the Sawyer memo is 1/9/64---that leans to making it a "real" memo, not some baloney ginned up for the record. That is to say, in January of 1964 the JFKA CT community hardly existed, and tracing the LHO DPD radio description back to the Deep State was not being done. There was no need in early 1964 to refute the "Deep State planted the LHO description" narrative.

I have reasonable doubts that a lone gunsel armed with a single shot per bolt action rifle accomplished the JFKA. Looks to me like Gov. JBC was shot ~Z-295. The WC LN narrative stretches credulity on several points, in its way to becoming terra incognita on a map of truth.

Interesting prospect: one JFKA sniper was armed with a Winchester, while LHO fired the M-C.



4
Still, only in the JFKA, where nothing goes smoothly, would the "holding a coke" statement "just happen" to find its way into a draft affidavit and create havoc.

Excerpts from my "Oswald And The Coke" webpage:

DVP SAID: If some conspiracy theorists think that the FBI was covering up something relating to CE3076 (and a lot of CTers do believe that very thing, of course), then why on Earth wouldn't they have simply torn up the original statement with the crossed-out words "drinking a Coke" and the other cross-out and simply re-write the statement without any reference to the Coke at all? They can fake all kinds of evidence, per the conspiracy theorists, but they're unwilling to toss a piece of paper in the trash and re-write a two-page witness statement?

Seems kinda silly, doesn't it?

Officer Baker's 9/23/64 statement is weird, I'll grant the conspiracy theorists that much. It's obviously not Baker's handwriting. It's someone else's. But Baker DID sign it and initial the cross-outs. There's no doubt about that either. If CTers want to think Baker was coerced into crossing out the "Coke" reference, I'll ask again -- Why didn't the FBI simply re-write the whole thing--sans any "Coke" reference--and then have Baker sign the revised statement? That would have taken--what?--an extra 5 minutes?

The fact that CROSS-OUTS exist in that document at all is pretty good proof that the FBI wasn't hiding anything concerning that document.

Heck, they could also have just as easily crossed out the word "Coke" entirely. But they didn't even do that. The word "Coke" can still easily be read underneath Baker's cross-out.

Some cover-up there.

[...]

DVP SAID: The Sept. '64 affidavits were obviously prepared in a rush. And there's no typed version of either (AFAIK). Plus: They aren't notarized by an official Notary Public, which isn't normal for an affidavit either. Instead of a notary, it seems the FBI merely used a "witness" (Shelley and Hargis).

So, quite obviously, the 9/23/64 statements were not "normal" affidavits. And it's just as obvious that those statements were prepared, as Jean Davison suggested in 2010, for the exclusive purpose of confirming that there was nobody else in the lunchroom when Baker and Truly confronted Oswald. That fact becomes obvious [And I later confirmed it via this FBI document] because I think the only place you'll find those documents used as source material in the Warren Report is with respect to the rumor of others being in the lunchroom with Oswald.

[...]

[FBI Agent] Burnett could have been using Captain Will Fritz' report as a reference for the "drinking a Coke" notation that we see in CE3076. In Fritz' notes detailing his interrogations of Lee Harvey Oswald, Fritz wrote this [which can be found in Commission Exhibit 2003, at 24 H 265, and also in the Warren Report on Page 600]:

"He [Oswald] said he was on the second floor drinking a Coca-Cola when the officer came in."

I think it's possible that the Dallas Police Department could have shared this information with the FBI regarding Fritz' notes.

[...]

IN JANUARY 2024, DVP (that'd be me 😀) ADDED:

It's interesting to note that the late Vincent T. Bugliosi, who wrote the book excerpt pictured below, evidently had no idea at all that today's 21st Century Conspiracy Theorists have invented a brand-new theory regarding the "Second-Floor Lunchroom Encounter". With that ridiculous "new" fantasy theory being, of course: The Lunchroom Encounter Never Happened At All.

[And it also seems as though Mr. Bugliosi, in the book excerpt below, thought that Marrion Baker himself wrote out the Sept. 23rd affidavit. But if Vince had studied the Truly & Baker Sep. '64 statements more closely, he would have easily been able to come to the same conclusion about those documents that I (and many others) have reached---i.e., they were written by an FBI agent, probably Richard J. Burnett.] ....


5
No other person in US history could have withstood all Trump has had to deal with and become president. Twice. The media bias, establishment resistance, assassins, lawfare etc.  It has always been an uphill fight. His election was a miracle.  Breaking the establishment hold on power.  With that said, the same characteristics undermine him.  He is a flawed person always fighting invisible enemies.  While it is great to make the right decisions, they are undermined if you can't implement them or get derailed.  My fear is that Trump leaves office with more missed opportunities than accomplishments.  He often is baited into playing into the media traps and lots of time and effort is wasted.

A very rational perspective that I mostly share, Richard. Unfortunately, I fear Trump's megalomania has caused him to believe his election ACTUALLY WAS A MIRACLE and that his every thought and act has the divine stamp of approval. As I've said before, I voted for him twice and was prepared to do so the third time but messed up my mail-in ballot and said the hell with it. The Trump I see now is more unbalanced and frightening than the Trump for whom I voted the first time. For a long time, I was willing to chalk up his "eccentricities" to an act that he was mostly enjoying and having fun with. Now I see him as seriously disturbed and even frightening. I think what's wrong with Trump is much more psychological and serious than simply being baited into playing into media traps. It would be wonderful if there were checks and balances in terms of close advisers who were something other than cowed yes-men and yes-women, but Trump is seemingly incapable of tolerating any dissension.
6
RS--

Somewhat agree, but then also---what the hell goes on when Trump tweets on Truth Social?

Trump in person, fielding questions from reporters and so on, makes a fair impression. He is no JFK or LBJ, but is OK on his feet. Anyone would say Trump is more in the game than Biden, for example. Or even Bush Jr.

Then Trump gets on Truth Social and appears to be a lunatic.



8
The problem with that line of thinking is that neither of them knew Oswald was the assassin. Reid had no idea and Baker was suspicious at first but let Oswald go when Truly vouched for him. No reason for him to pay close attention to what Oswald was wearing.
I understand your zeal for the LN narrative, but I think you're grasping here. Reid (she says) encountered Oswald after she came back from watching the horrific JFKA. She was surprised to encounter Oswald (and only Oswald) on her floor and addressed him about the assassination. These were not ordinary circumstances. Unlike you, I have a difficult time believing she would not have recalled what Oswald was wearing by the time of her first (handwritten) statement THE NEXT DAY and her second one a couple of days later. Recalling an Oswald who was wearing a brownish jacket (or shirt) as wearing only a white t-shirt and specifically as neither wearing nor carrying a jacket would be a remarkably faulty memory.

Quote
That was his impression based on trying to remember what he saw, even though at the time he had no reason to take note of it.
"Wearing a lt. brown jacket" was one of the few details Baker noted in his handwritten affidavit that was apparently written THE DAY OF THE EVENT: https://texashistory.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metapth338819/m1/5/. He was not having to do much in the way of "trying to remember."

If we're honest, LNers and CTers alike "have a problem" with the reliability of eyewitness and earwitness testimony when it doesn't mesh with what they want to hear and "have no problem" when it fits what they want to hear. There is no reason to think that either Baker or Reid would be unable to remember accurately in these circumstances, yet there is a definite disconnect.
9
Do you think if Trump had been a typical play it safe politician, he ever could have defied the odds and become President in the first place. The reason so many people hate him is the same reason so many people love him. He says what's on his mind and he doesn't sugarcoat it. Trump took over the GOP because the establishment Republicans would talk a good game but would never stand up to the Democrats. As soon as the Democrats would start to call them racists or Nazis, they would wet the pants and fold their cards, even when they had a winning hand. I got fed up with them in the 1990s when they finally got control of both houses of Congress but let Bill Clinton play them like a fiddle. They did accomplish some things but there was so much more they could have done. Even when Bush 43 got elected, they still wouldn't press their advantage. I refused to vote for McCain and I had to hold my nose when I voted for Romney. Now I wish I hadn't. Ryan and Boehner were ineffective as Speakers. The continued the tradition of rolling over whenever the Democrats started talking mean to them.

When Trump entered the race in 2015, I had reservations. I didn't know what to expect from him. I voted Libertarian in 2016. But then I saw how he governed and realized the GOP had finally found a fighter. The rank and filed of the GOP figured that out too most of them even before I did. I enthusiastically voted for Trump in both 2020 and 2024. I would do so again in 2028 if he was allowed to run. He has shown the rest of the GOP how to fight the Dems. I want to see which of the expected candidates in 2028 shows he (or she) will do the same.

No other person in US history could have withstood all Trump has had to deal with and become president. Twice. The media bias, establishment resistance, assassins, lawfare etc.  It has always been an uphill fight. His election was a miracle.  Breaking the establishment hold on power.  With that said, the same characteristics undermine him.  He is a flawed person always fighting invisible enemies.  While it is great to make the right decisions, they are undermined if you can't implement them or get derailed.  My fear is that Trump leaves office with more missed opportunities than accomplishments.  He often is baited into playing into the media traps and lots of time and effort is wasted.
10
I have no problem with that. I wonder why you keep going down every Soviet rabbit hole you come across. The Soviets had nothing to do with the JFK assassination. Neither did Castro, neither did anyone except little old Lee Harvey Oswald.

"You keep going down every Soviet rabbit hole you come across."

That's a suggestion I refuse to accept.

Regardless, the reason I do "go down" some of them is because "former" KGB counterintelligence officer Vladimir Putin did install "useful idiot" (or worse) Donald Trump as our "President" on 20 January 2017 as the culmination of the Kremlin's 1959-on deception-based Master Plan to get us to tear ourselves apart, and because there are a few Oswald-related JFKA "anomalies" that far-left CTs take to signify that the evil, evil CIA or the evil, evil Military Industrial Intelligence-Community Complex or the evil, evil Deep State (not to be conflated with Steve Bannon's evil, evil Administrative State) killed JFK, which I think bear looking into to determine whether they were, instead, part-and-parcel of said highly successful Master Plan.

Is that okay with you?
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