JFK Assassination Forum

Off Topic => News - Off Topic - Weird & Wacky => Topic started by: Steve M. Galbraith on May 26, 2021, 11:50:16 PM

Title: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Hypothesis
Post by: Steve M. Galbraith on May 26, 2021, 11:50:16 PM
Longish piece by Matthew Yglesias, a left-of-center journalist, on the media's coverage of the allegations that the virus may have leaked from a lab.

Conclusion: "My strong suspicion is that this [i.e., a false consensus on issues that is generated by social media] is true across domains of expertise, and is creating a lot of bubbles of fake consensus that can become very misleading. And I don’t have a solution."

This is the "fake news" that we should worry about; not, to a lesser, not none but lesser degree, the lunatics at Qanon and elsewhere.

https://www.slowboring.com/p/the-medias-lab-leak-fiasco
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jon Banks on May 27, 2021, 01:47:21 AM
The same pattern applied to the Media’s coverage of Russiagate too.

And those of us who are JFK assassination skeptics or CT’ers could say that that kind of behavior in the media has gone on for decades.

Whether it’s Covid, Iraq’s WMDs, Climate Science, or the JFK murder investigations, the Mainstream Media for some reason tends to try to limit the boundaries of what is legit to discuss and tries to discredit narratives or ideas that they don’t like or that goes against mainstream consensus.

Because the Media hates Trump so much, it was easy to dismiss the Lab Leak theory as just another conspiracy theory when he was President.

Now that a few mainstream reporters and some scientists have endorsed the idea that the theory is at least plausible and Trump is no longer President, the media’s consensus has shifted.

Because I have kept an open mind from day one, I never ruled out the Lab Leak as a plausible event even while I think a natural origin is the most likely explanation…

Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Rick Plant on May 27, 2021, 02:41:13 AM
The same pattern applied to the Media’s coverage of Russiagate too.

And those of us who are JFK assassination skeptics or CT’ers could say that that kind of behavior in the media has gone on for decades.

Whether it’s Covid, Iraq’s WMDs, Climate Science, or the JFK murder investigations, the Mainstream Media for some reason tends to try to limit the boundaries of what is legit to discuss and tries to discredit narratives or ideas that they don’t like or that goes against mainstream consensus.

Because the Media hates Trump so much, it was easy to dismiss the Lab Leak theory as just another conspiracy theory when he was President.

Now that a few mainstream reporters and some scientists have endorsed the idea that the theory is at least plausible and Trump is no longer President, the media’s consensus has shifted.

Because I have kept an open mind from day one, I never ruled out the Lab Leak as a plausible event even while I think a natural origin is the most likely explanation…

"The media hates Trump"  :D :D :D

Same poor excuse right wingers use to excuse his corruption and criminality...blame the media....really pathetic. The purpose of the media is to investigate crime and corruption. Right wingers don't like when their orange messiah's crimes are brought to light so they use the same bogus talking points attempting to dismiss the charges. 

It was Criminal Donald who dubbed the mainstream media "the enemy of the people" which is a Hitler Nazi tactic to eradicate the free press in order to install a propaganda state run media which all dictators establish. And that's exactly what we have with right wing AM radio, Faux Propaganda, OAN, and NewsMax pushing fake news and dangerous lies.

The "lab leak" theory was dismissed by scientists and government officials and the press reported on it. Far right wing conspiracy theorists pushed the "lab leak" theory in order to absolve Criminal Donald of his purposeful neglect of the worst virus in history.

It really doesn't matter how COVID-19 came about, what matters is what was done to prevent the virus from devastating  the United States of America. The answer is that nothing was done to prepare citizens of our country to combat this virus. Criminal Donald knew about COVID-19 since November 2019 and did nothing to prepare or protect Americans until the virus was out of control in major U.S. cities.

Right out of the gate Criminal Donald, his corrupt officials, and the right wing media made the virus political calling it "a hoax". They also lied telling us it "was low risk", "contained", or "the virus will never come here". All were lies which allowed millions of people to become infected and hundreds of thousands of people to die from the virus.

The right wingers viciously attacked the use of wearing masks and social distancing to help prevent the spread of the virus. They also stormed State Capitol buildings in order to pressure Governors to end stay at home orders which helped saved lives. Now they are attacking the vaccine and spreading lies with their fake news.

The right caused this entire disaster to become more devastating than it should have been. If President Biden was in charge from the start COVID-19 would not have been as bad as it was.                   
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jon Banks on May 27, 2021, 06:05:45 AM
"The media hates Trump"  :D :D :D

Same poor excuse right wingers use to excuse his corruption and criminality...blame the media....really pathetic. The purpose of the media is to investigate crime and corruption. Right wingers don't like when their orange messiah's crimes are brought to light so they use the same bogus talking points attempting to dismiss the charges. 

It was Criminal Donald who dubbed the mainstream media "the enemy of the people" which is a Hitler Nazi tactic to eradicate the free press in order to install a propaganda state run media which all dictators establish. And that's exactly what we have with right wing AM radio, Faux Propaganda, OAN, and NewsMax pushing fake news and dangerous lies.

The "lab leak" theory was dismissed by scientists and government officials and the press reported on it. Far right wing conspiracy theorists pushed the "lab leak" theory in order to absolve Criminal Donald of his purposeful neglect of the worst virus in history.

It really doesn't matter how COVID-19 came about, what matters is what was done to prevent the virus from devastating  the United States of America. The answer is that nothing was done to prepare citizens of our country to combat this virus. Criminal Donald knew about COVID-19 since November 2019 and did nothing to prepare or protect Americans until the virus was out of control in major U.S. cities.

Right out of the gate Criminal Donald, his corrupt officials, and the right wing media made the virus political calling it "a hoax". They also lied telling us it "was low risk", "contained", or "the virus will never come here". All were lies which allowed millions of people to become infected and hundreds of thousands of people to die from the virus.

The right wingers viciously attacked the use of wearing masks and social distancing to help prevent the spread of the virus. They also stormed State Capitol buildings in order to pressure Governors to end stay at home orders which helped saved lives. Now they are attacking the vaccine and spreading lies with their fake news.

The right caused this entire disaster to become more devastating than it should have been. If President Biden was in charge from the start COVID-19 would not have been as bad as it was.                 

A lot of folks in the Mainstream Media disliked Trump so much that they weren’t able to report on his Presidency objectively.

I say this as someone who didn’t vote for Trump and thought he was a lousy President.
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Richard Smith on May 27, 2021, 03:54:32 PM
A lot of folks in the Mainstream Media disliked Trump so much that they weren’t able to report on his Presidency objectively.


That is true and likely an understatement.  The mainstream media and political establishment (both dems and repubs) hated Trump so much that they didn't care whether a story was true or not.  The ends justified the means.  Trump was deemed to be such a monster that anything was acceptable to harm him.  So they knowingly conjured up and promoted false narratives with no concern for the facts.  Anyone who questioned those narratives was shouted down as a racist or conspiracy theorist.  Even when the conspiracy theory was being touted by media (i.e. Russian collusion).
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jerry Organ on May 27, 2021, 05:35:42 PM
That is true and likely an understatement.  The mainstream media and political establishment (both dems and repubs) hated Trump so much that they didn't care whether a story was true or not.  The ends justified the means.  Trump was deemed to be such a monster that anything was acceptable to harm him.  So they knowingly conjured up and promoted false narratives with no concern for the facts.  Anyone who questioned those narratives was shouted down as a racist or conspiracy theorist.  Even when the conspiracy theory was being touted by media (i.e. Russian collusion).

(https://www.allsides.com/sites/default/files/AllSidesMediaBiasChart-Version4.1.jpg)  (https://www.adfontesmedia.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Media-Bias-Chart-7.0_January-2021-Unlicensed-Social-Media_Hi_Res-min-1-1.jpg)

Republicans are more prone to believe the media is bias (the last hold-outs being taken out with Trump's "fake news" jargon). Since the days of Billy Graham, many Republicans found themselves conditioned by the evangelical movement to accept and obey the words of a wizened "messiah" should he/she appear. No fallback to a Bush, McCain or Romney. Politics is now a religious, spiritual existential experience the Republicans can't compartmentalize. It's like the Catholic Church making war and conducting crusades in olden times, something they wouldn't dream of doing today.

While the "left" media seems to have more outlets (because the Left is diverse), the Conservative outlets will sometimes have disproportionate viewers (Fox News, for example, dominates the evening cable ratings).

Of course, all these media outlets (and their consumers) perceive themselves as unbiased, which probably doesn't exist in no one.
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Richard Smith on May 28, 2021, 04:12:09 PM
(https://www.allsides.com/sites/default/files/AllSidesMediaBiasChart-Version4.1.jpg)  (https://www.adfontesmedia.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Media-Bias-Chart-7.0_January-2021-Unlicensed-Social-Media_Hi_Res-min-1-1.jpg)

Republicans are more prone to believe the media is bias (the last hold-outs being taken out with Trump's "fake news" jargon). Since the days of Billy Graham, many Republicans found themselves conditioned by the evangelical movement to accept and obey the words of a wizened "messiah" should he/she appear. No fallback to a Bush, McCain or Romney. Politics is now a religious, spiritual existential experience the Republicans can't compartmentalize. It's like the Catholic Church making war and conducting crusades in olden times, something they wouldn't dream of doing today.

While the "left" media seems to have more outlets (because the Left is diverse), the Conservative outlets will sometimes have disproportionate viewers (Fox News, for example, dominates the evening cable ratings).

Of course, all these media outlets (and their consumers) perceive themselves as unbiased, which probably doesn't exist in no one.

I don't believe that we need any chart to understand that the mainstream media and social media giants are wildly biased.  Against establishment republicans maybe somewhat less than Trump.  Trump was banned from most social media outlets.  Keep in mind that these outlets are protected by federal law from suits as to content because they are supposed to act as common carriers like your telephone company.  Imagine, however, your telephone provider listening in on your conversation and deciding what is true and what is false and censoring your conversation based on their own subjective criteria of truth.   If social media outlets want to act as publishers, they need to give up the protections from lawsuits for content.  But they want to have it both ways.  It is outrageous and biased censorship.  It is only applied to one side.  Terrorists can post their opinions on Twitter and Facebook but not the President of the United States.  Everyone should be outraged by that biased 1984-level of media control.  There was a time when the liberals were the champions of free speech.  Now they want to silence any dissenting views.  It's a sad time for free speech.  I would not want Hillary, Obama, Old Joe Biden or Pelosi silenced or banned.  I disagree with most of their views but they have every right to make their case.
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Steve M. Galbraith on May 28, 2021, 04:34:14 PM
A lot of folks in the Mainstream Media disliked Trump so much that they weren’t able to report on his Presidency objectively.

I say this as someone who didn’t vote for Trump and thought he was a lousy President.
That's most definitely true as I see it too and why part of cause for the failure to fairly report on the "lab leak" hypothesis, to dismiss it almost immediately, occurred. If the right wing media is so influential then why was this lab leak theory essentially dismissed for so long? But it was Senator Cotton more than Trump who was raising this question well before Trump did. It wasn't just anti-Trump thinking that led to this failure.

But I think as Yglesias points out it goes beyond the dislike of Trump (who was a lousy president who deserved most, not all, but most of the negative press). The question he asks is do we have a media, e.g,. the major media entities, that promote a "false consensus" on critical issues because they "talk to themselves" and live in bubbles where that consensus is re-enforced? There isn't sufficient self-examination of that "consensus" view?

I think it was certainly true on this theory. To be non-partisan, it was also true on the Iraq WMD question about 20 years ago.  And it was also true, in a different way, 55+ years ago with the media's reporting on the JFK assassination. There wasn't much criticism of the Warren Report at that time. It changed over the years; but this was a pre-Vietnam/pre-Watergate media that was much too willing to accept the government's statements.
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jon Banks on May 28, 2021, 06:03:20 PM
That's most definitely true as I see it too and part of the failure to fairly report on the "lab leak" theory, to dismiss it almost immediately, was caused by this. If the right wing media is so influential then why was this lab leak theory essentially dismissed for so long? But it was Senator Cotton more than Trump who was raising this question well before Trump did. It wasn't just anti-Trump thinking that led to this.

But I think as Yglesias points out it goes beyond the dislike of Trump (who was a lousy president who deserved most, not all, but most of the negative press). The question he asks is do we have a media, e.g,. the major media entities, that promote a "false consensus" on critical issues because they "talk to themselves" and live in bubbles where that consensus is re-enforced? There isn't sufficient self-examination of that "consensus" view?

I think it was certainly true on this theory. To be non-partisan, it was also true on the Iraq WMD question about 20 years ago.  And it was also true, in a different way, 55+ years ago with the media's reporting on the JFK assassination. There wasn't much criticism of the Warren Report at that time. It changed over the years; but this was a pre-Vietnam/pre-Watergate media that was much too willing to accept the government's statements.

I don't know if any of you use Twitter. I do and I follow a lot of Media personalities.

The way they talk amongst their peers on social media is part of what drives and reinforces consensus around certain Media narratives.

Declaring certain inconvenient narratives as "rightwing" almost always gets Liberal media personalities to be dismissive.

The Hunter Biden stories (shady Ukraine and China business deals) are a perfect example. Most of the Media didn't want to address the leaks from his laptop because they were afraid it could help Trump. But after the election, Hunter confirmed that the DOJ is investigating him so it was a legit news story prior to the election regardless of whether or not it hurt Joe Biden or helped Trump.

On social media, most of the Liberal Media personalities dismissed the Hunter Biden laptop leaks as "Russian disinfo" or potentially false information. 
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jerry Organ on May 28, 2021, 06:38:52 PM
On social media, most of the Liberal Media personalities dismissed the Hunter Biden laptop leaks as "Russian disinfo" or potentially false information.

I can't find where it's been determined the laptop was Hunter's and that nothing was done to its contents while it was out of his possession.

The computer repair shop owner is John Paul Mac Isaac, an avid Trump supporter, who sued Twitter for $500,000,000 last December. So much for their love of free speech.
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jon Banks on May 28, 2021, 06:57:21 PM
I can't find where it's been determined the laptop was Hunter's and that nothing was done to its contents while it was out of his possession.

The computer repair shop owner is John Paul Mac Isaac, an avid Trump supporter, who sued Twitter for $500,000,000 last December. So much for their love of free speech.

Hunter literally said recently that the Laptop “may” be his.

The DEA found a second Laptop belonging to Hunter during a drug bust of a doctor in Massachusetts.

The Delaware repair shop guy’s story is weird but so far, everything he has said checks out. No one can argue that he isn’t credible or that the FBI didn’t take the Laptop into custody. He literally has a receipt from the FBI’s Baltimore office.

Granted, people SHOULD be skeptical of the NY Post and Rudy Giuliani but the Center-Left and Liberal Media’s disinterest in even reporting on the stuff that was confirmed as accurate was a bad look in terms of proving that they’re not totally biased…
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Steve M. Galbraith on May 28, 2021, 07:27:54 PM
Hunter literally said recently that the Laptop “may” be his.

The DEA found a second Laptop belonging to Hunter during a drug bust of a doctor in Massachusetts.

The Delaware repair shop guy’s story is weird but so far, everything he has said checks out. No one can argue that he isn’t credible or that the FBI didn’t take the Laptop into custody. He literally has a receipt from the FBI’s Baltimore office.

Granted, people SHOULD be skeptical of the NY Post and Rudy Giuliani but the Center-Left and Liberal Media’s disinterest in even reporting on the stuff that was confirmed as accurate was a bad look in terms of proving that they’re not totally biased…
Yep, the story was that the mainstream media - the major outlets - refused to cover the story. And social media banned people from linking to the NY Post story. And the NY Post was banned by Twitter and Facebook from linking to their story. This nonsense that it wasn't "proven" and therefore couldn't be mentioned is absurd. By that standard half of the stories we discuss wouldn't be allowed to be mentioned. JFK assassination anyone?

The Russian collusion story wasn't proven, especially the Steele Dossier part of it. The Russian bounty story wasn't proven. And yet those weren't banned. Just until two days ago Facebook banned people from mentioning the "lab leak" theory behind the pandemic.

Something seriously wrong is going on here but it appears that if the "right" people are being silenced it's okay. It's not. Today it's them, tomorrow it's you.
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jerry Organ on May 28, 2021, 07:35:16 PM
Hunter literally said recently that the Laptop “may” be his.

That's quite a cherry-pick, for a fellow who's "on to" the media doing deceitful things.

    "Was that your laptop?" she asked.
         "For real, I don't know," Hunter replied.
    "I know. But you know that, this isn’t ..."
         "But my point is, I really don't know. The answer is, that's the truthful answer."
    "You don't know, yes or no, if the laptop was yours?"
         "I don't have any idea. No idea whether or not …"
    "So, could have been yours?"
         "Of course, certainly," Hunter said.

Quote
The DEA found a second Laptop belonging to Hunter during a drug bust of a doctor in Massachusetts.

The Delaware repair shop guy’s story is weird but so far, everything he has said checks out. No one can argue that he isn’t credible or that the FBI didn’t take the Laptop into custody. He literally has a receipt from the FBI’s Baltimore office.

Granted, people SHOULD be skeptical of the NY Post and Rudy Giuliani but the Center-Left and Liberal Media’s disinterest in even reporting on the stuff that was confirmed as accurate was a bad look in terms of proving that they’re not totally biased…

You're talking about hindsight. Last fall, all they had to work with was the Giuliani "Four Seasons" sideshow.
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jerry Organ on May 28, 2021, 07:49:29 PM
Something seriously wrong is going on here but it appears that if the "right" people are being silenced it's okay. It's not. Today it's them, tomorrow it's you.

Isn't this really about Right-Wingers wanting protection for their ongoing, increasingly-hostile demeaning comments about blacks, ethics, women and the poor?
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jon Banks on May 28, 2021, 09:34:17 PM
That's quite a cherry-pick, for a fellow who's "on to" the media doing deceitful things.

    "Was that your laptop?" she asked.
         "For real, I don't know," Hunter replied.
    "I know. But you know that, this isn’t ..."
         "But my point is, I really don't know. The answer is, that's the truthful answer."
    "You don't know, yes or no, if the laptop was yours?"
         "I don't have any idea. No idea whether or not …"
    "So, could have been yours?"
         "Of course, certainly," Hunter said.

You're talking about hindsight. Last fall, all they had to work with was the Giuliani "Four Seasons" sideshow.

The Wall Street Journal and Fox News did what every other journalist could've done which was, contact people who were referenced in the emails and text massages and interview them.

They were able to independently confirm the authenticity of the data that they reported on. Although we still don't know for certain that it was from Hunter's laptop, no other explanation for how his data was obtained has been given by Biden's legal team. They never alleged that he had been Hacked or that his computer was stolen.

There's no good excuse for the rest of the Media to have ignored the story. Probably the worst example of their bias in the Trump era.
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jon Banks on May 29, 2021, 04:54:33 PM
The former NY Times Covid reporter explains why he didn't address the Lab Leak theories until recently:

Quote
How I Learned to Stop Worrying And Love the Lab-Leak Theory

"The experts all agreed that the SARS-CoV-2 virus was not a deliberate weaponization of a previously known virus and that it had no obvious signs of lab manipulation (more details below). They noted that blood sampling showed that brief “spillovers” of animal viruses into humans happen often without causing large outbreaks. Therefore, they argued, the odds were that this was another virus that got lucky, like SARS and MERS and the 2009 pandemic flu: it had dwelled long enough inside a civet or camel or pig or something to infect human-like cells, and then had hit the big city.

For about a year, that was the general wisdom among science writers. The “lab-leak theory” migrated back to the far right where it had started — championed by the folks who brought us Pizzagate, the Plandemic, Kung Flu, Q-Anon, Stop the Steal, and the January 6 Capitol invasion. It was tarred by the fact that everyone backing it seemed to hate not just Democrats and the Chinese Communist Party, but even the Chinese themselves. It spawned racist rumors like “Chinese labs sell their dead experimental animals in food markets.”


https://donaldgmcneiljr1954.medium.com/how-i-learned-to-stop-worrying-and-love-the-lab-leak-theory-f4f88446b04d
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Steve M. Galbraith on May 29, 2021, 05:15:01 PM
The former NY Times Covid reporter explains why he didn't address the Lab Leak theories until recently:


https://donaldgmcneiljr1954.medium.com/how-i-learned-to-stop-worrying-and-love-the-lab-leak-theory-f4f88446b04d
I think that's called an "admission against interest."

There were all kinds of flags indicating that the investigations - including the one by WHO - were shams. Even the head of WHO, not known for challenging Beijing, said it was not sufficient. And that was months ago. It was never, as I now see it, a far fetched theory only held by Qanon crackpots.

A side story to this is that we thought that opening up China to the rest of the world, to the west, would change its internal policies. That economic liberalization would create political liberalization. That hasn't worked. Instead of changing them, it's changed us. The government - the Party really - is using this opening up to push its interests and make, force really, changes in us instead.
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jon Banks on May 29, 2021, 05:51:17 PM
I think that's called an "admission against interest."

There were all kinds of flags indicating that the investigations - including the one by WHO - were shams. Even the head of WHO, not known for challenging Beijing, said it was not sufficient. And that was months ago. It was never, as I now see it, a far fetched theory only held by Qanon crackpots.

A side story to this is that we thought that opening up China to the rest of the world, to the west, would change its internal policies. That economic liberalization would create political liberalization. That hasn't worked. Instead of changing them, it's changed us. The government - the Party really - is using this opening up to push its interest and make changes in us instead.

The Lab Leak theory can't be ruled out until we know more about how or when the virus jumped from animals to humans. However, there's not a shred of solid evidence so far supporting that theory.

The circumstantial evidence is obvious. A lab that studies coronaviruses happens to be located where the first major outbreak happened. But despite a year and a half of Intelligence agencies and scientists looking into the virus' origins, there's no solid evidence that it escaped from a Lab. Also, history shows that where a new virus happens to be discovered isn't always where the virus originated. For example, the Spanish Flu was discovered by Spain but originated in either Kansas or Mexico. It seems plausible that Covid originated somewhere else in China before finding it's way to a major city like Wuhan. There's genetic evidence and circumstantial evidence backing the view that Wuhan isn't the first place where Covid existed. It's more a question of, was the virus brought to Wuhan and released accidentally by Virus researchers? Or did it get there via the Wet Markets where exotic wild animals are sold?

The CIA in 2020 told the Trump administration that they had no evidence that the Chinese believe it leaked from a lab. By that, I assume they mean, Chinese officials aren't saying anything privately that contradicts their claim that it didn't leak from one of their Bio-research Labs:
-----------

Anthony Ruggiero, the head of the National Security Council’s bureau tracking weapons of mass destruction, expressed frustration during one videoconference in January that the C.I.A. was unable to get behind any theory of the outbreak’s origin. C.I.A. analysts responded that they simply did not have the evidence to support any one theory with high confidence at the time, according to people familiar with the conversation.

The C.I.A.’s judgment was based in part on the fact that no signs had emerged that the Chinese government believed the outbreak came from a lab.
The Chinese government has vigorously denied that the virus leaked from a lab while pushing disinformation on its origins, including suggesting that the American military created it…

In a statement released earlier on Thursday, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence said that the intelligence community “will continue to rigorously examine emerging information and intelligence to determine whether the outbreak began through contact with infected animals or if it was the result of an accident at a laboratory in Wuhan.”

Intelligence agencies, the statement said, concur “with the wide scientific consensus that the Covid-19 virus was not man-made or genetically modified.”


https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/30/us/politics/trump-administration-intelligence-coronavirus-china.html

----------

The Intelligence community's assessments haven't changed. Biden's ODNI says they don't know when or how Covid first transmitted to humans.

There have been Lab Leaks in China in the recent past but we know about them and they all were contained (as far as we know). There's no evidence that the previous Lab Leaks of SARS led to a pandemic.

The Chinese government is very secretive most of the time so their secrecy alone shouldn't be reason to assume they know more about the origins of Covid than they've said publicly. And I agree that the Chinese government doesn't help matters by spreading their own theories about how the virus may have originated in the US. 

We can't ignore the fact that tensions between the US and China are as high as they've been since the 1970s. The Chinese likely don't believe the US is acting in good faith in the calls for more investigations.

It took 15 years or so for the Chinese to identify the source of the 2002 SARS outbreak and that outbreak had a connection to China's Wet Markets too. It could take as long or longer to find the source of the Covid-19 outbreak. Much of the research on that stuff happens in caves around remote parts of China. So while I find the Lab Leak theory to be plausible, it doesn't strike me as weird that the Chinese still don't know where the virus came from.

It's perfectly fine to speculate on the Lab Leak theory based on the circumstantial evidence. Lab leaks happen all over the world, including in the US and China. I agree that the mainstream media shouldn't have dismissed it entirely as a wacky conspiracy theory. Hopefully journalists and news editors learn lessons from this but I doubt they will...
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Steve M. Galbraith on May 29, 2021, 07:49:03 PM
The Lab Leak theory can't be ruled out until we know more about how or when the virus jumped from animals to humans. However, there's not a shred of solid evidence so far supporting that theory.

The circumstantial evidence is obvious. A lab that studies coronaviruses happens to be located where the first major outbreak happened. But despite a year and a half of Intelligence agencies and scientists looking into the virus' origins, there's no solid evidence that it escaped from a Lab. Also, history shows that where a new virus happens to be discovered isn't always where the virus originated. For example, the Spanish Flu was discovered by Spain but originated in either Kansas or Mexico. It seems plausible that Covid originated somewhere else in China before finding it's way to a major city like Wuhan. There's genetic evidence and circumstantial evidence backing the view that Wuhan isn't the first place where Covid existed. It's more a question of, was the virus brought to Wuhan and released accidentally by Virus researchers? Or did it get there via the Wet Markets where exotic wild animals are sold?

The CIA in 2020 told the Trump administration that they had no evidence that the Chinese believe it leaked from a lab. By that, I assume they mean, Chinese officials aren't saying anything privately that contradicts their claim that it didn't leak from one of their Bio-research Labs:
-----------

Anthony Ruggiero, the head of the National Security Council’s bureau tracking weapons of mass destruction, expressed frustration during one videoconference in January that the C.I.A. was unable to get behind any theory of the outbreak’s origin. C.I.A. analysts responded that they simply did not have the evidence to support any one theory with high confidence at the time, according to people familiar with the conversation.

The C.I.A.’s judgment was based in part on the fact that no signs had emerged that the Chinese government believed the outbreak came from a lab.
The Chinese government has vigorously denied that the virus leaked from a lab while pushing disinformation on its origins, including suggesting that the American military created it…

In a statement released earlier on Thursday, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence said that the intelligence community “will continue to rigorously examine emerging information and intelligence to determine whether the outbreak began through contact with infected animals or if it was the result of an accident at a laboratory in Wuhan.”

Intelligence agencies, the statement said, concur “with the wide scientific consensus that the Covid-19 virus was not man-made or genetically modified.”


https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/30/us/politics/trump-administration-intelligence-coronavirus-china.html

----------

The Intelligence community's assessments haven't changed. Biden's ODNI says they don't know when or how Covid first transmitted to humans.

There have been Lab Leaks in China in the recent past but we know about them and they all were contained (as far as we know). There's no evidence that the previous Lab Leaks of SARS led to a pandemic.

The Chinese government is very secretive most of the time so their secrecy alone shouldn't be reason to assume they know more about the origins of Covid than they've said publicly. And I agree that the Chinese government doesn't help matters by spreading their own theories about how the virus may have originated in the US. 

We can't ignore the fact that tensions between the US and China are as high as they've been since the 1970s. The Chinese likely don't believe the US is acting in good faith in the calls for more investigations.

It took 15 years or so for the Chinese to identify the source of the 2002 SARS outbreak and that outbreak had a connection to China's Wet Markets too. It could take as long or longer to find the source of the Covid-19 outbreak. Much of the research on that stuff happens in caves around remote parts of China. So while I find the Lab Leak theory to be plausible, it doesn't strike me as weird that the Chinese still don't know where the virus came from.

It's perfectly fine to speculate on the Lab Leak theory based on the circumstantial evidence. Lab leaks happen all over the world, including in the US and China. I agree that the mainstream media shouldn't have dismissed it entirely as a wacky conspiracy theory. Hopefully journalists and news editors learn lessons from this but I doubt they will...
We're now running the risk of over compensating and running too quickly with the lab leak theory. And relying on, in part, the same intelligence that gave us Iraqi WMDs. We need to be as skeptical, as you say, of the lab leak theory as we should be with the natural explanation. With the exception of a few usual suspects on Fox, the media have been generally calm. But it's early.

Reportedly, from the NY Times story, there's "a raft of still-unexamined evidence that required additional computer analysis that might shed light on the mystery." Swell, just swell. We're spending over $100 billion a year for this?

As to the origins: If it didn't come from a wet market and if the Chinese have been unable to find another animal that carries the virus, then what's the origin? And where did Patient Zero contract it and how? What's the most logical explanation at this point? Yes, this is why I'm not a scientist, trained to carefully weigh things and follow the scientific method of exhausting all possibilities. Maybe it was some person who had pet bats and got if from one of them.

In any case, back to my original post about how the media may be getting into bubbles and only considering sources that re-enforce their prejudices. And one of those prejudices was its dislike and opposition to all things Trump. That's unacceptable; or should be. 
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jon Banks on May 29, 2021, 08:29:12 PM
We're now running the risk of over compensating and running too quickly with the lab leak theory. And relying on, in part, the same intelligence that gave us Iraqi WMDs. We need to be as skeptical, as you say, of the lab leak theory as we should be with the natural explanation. With the exception of a few usual suspects on Fox, the media have been generally calm. But it's early.

Reportedly, from the NY Times story, there's "a raft of still-unexamined evidence that required additional computer analysis that might shed light on the mystery." Swell, just swell. We're spending over $100 billion a year for this?

As to the origins: If it didn't come from a wet market and if the Chinese have been unable to find another animal that carries the virus, then what's the origin? And where did Patient Zero contract it and how? What's the most logical explanation at this point? Yes, this is why I'm not a scientist, trained to carefully weigh things and follow the scientific method of exhausting all possibilities. Maybe it was some person who had pet bats and got if from one of them.

In any case, back to my original post about how the media may be getting into bubbles and only considering sources that re-enforce their prejudices. It certainly seemed to have happened here.

It happens often unfortunately.

The whole partisan Media Bubble thing became clear to me with the coverage of the Benghazi investigations. Fox News and rightwing outlets made a big deal of it while the rest of the media mostly ignored the investigations.

The coverage of the Trump-Russia stuff was another example of how the Bubbles lead to bad or misleading reporting. The Steele Dossier was given far too much coverage and there were a few big stories that were quickly debunked (ie Michael Cohen in Prague).

And I agree that some in the Media are over-correcting for the lack of coverage of the Lab Leak theory by talking about it with more frequency now even though there has been little to no new evidence since early last year.
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Steve M. Galbraith on May 29, 2021, 08:36:03 PM
Isn't this really about Right-Wingers wanting protection for their ongoing, increasingly-hostile demeaning comments about blacks, ethics, women and the poor?
No, this is about my original post and Yglesias's observations about the lab leak theory. And then secondarily about the suppression of the Hunter Biden laptop story.

In both instances, much of the news media and the social media suppressed the stories. Or forbid people from even discussing it. Facebook banned people from even discussing the lab leak theory.

That's a problem. Just because it's the "bad guys" being targeted doesn't mean it's right. You guys on the left, not all (Jon sees the problem) but too many, are way too cavalier about this because it's not happening to your side. Just give it time; it will. And how will you oppose it after defending it now?
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Steve M. Galbraith on May 29, 2021, 08:59:27 PM
A good little rule for people to consider when you propose suppressing the speech (or other liberties) of others: Would you want the "other side" to have the same ability or power to suppress the speech and liberties that you're espousing? That is, if you get to do "A" then the other side gets to do "A" too?

If the answer is, "Heck no!", then it's probably a wise choice to abandon the idea.
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Steve M. Galbraith on May 29, 2021, 10:11:12 PM
Josh Rogin, a reporter (correction) columnist for the Washington Post and someone who has been, almost by himself, covering/reporting the "lab leak" theory from the beginning - from early 2020 - has a very tough twitter thread about the failure of his fellow reporters journalists on this story. He's not going to very popular with them.

Rogin:
#1: "All these reporters scrambling to defend their own records on the lab leak theory are exposing their own hypocrisy & ignoring their basic error. Just report the facts. Don’t act like its your job to tell us whats ok to think or talk about. Own up to it when you fail your readers."

#2: "Also, the lab leak theory didn’t change. It didn’t suddenly become credible. It didn’t jump from crazy to reasonable. The theory has always been the same. The people who got it wrong changed their minds. They are writing about themselves, with zero self awareness."

#3: "Most MSM reporters didn’t “ignore” the lab leak theory, they actively crapped all over it for over a year while pretending to be objective out of a toxic mix of confirmation bias, source bias (their scientist sources lied to them), group think, TDS and general incompetence."

I think this is a bit overly harsh especially #2. The evidence for this has changed, we have learned much more from last year. About the wet markets in particular. So this is, I think, not completely fair or accurate.

Link here: https://twitter.com/joshrogin/status/1398661632193089536

 
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jon Banks on May 29, 2021, 11:26:11 PM
The group that looks the worst in my opinion are the Fact-Checkers.

There were several Fact-checking articles that completely dismissed the Lab Leak theory.

Obviously, Facts can and do change but in this instance, the Facts didn’t change. It was a change in the political circumstances are what changed over the course of the last few months…
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jon Banks on May 29, 2021, 11:34:48 PM
Josh Rogin, a reporter for the Washington Post and someone who has been, almost by himself, covering/reporting the "lab leak" theory from the beginning - from early 2020 - has a very tough twitter thread about the failure of his fellow reporters on this story. He's not going to very popular with them.

Rogin:
#1: "All these reporters scrambling to defend their own records on the lab leak theory are exposing their own hypocrisy & ignoring their basic error. Just report the facts. Don’t act like its your job to tell us whats ok to think or talk about. Own up to it when you fail your readers."

#2: "Also, the lab leak theory didn’t change. It didn’t suddenly become credible. It didn’t jump from crazy to reasonable. The theory has always been the same. The people who got it wrong changed their minds. They are writing about themselves, with zero self awareness."

#3: "Most MSM reporters didn’t “ignore” the lab leak theory, they actively crapped all over it for over a year while pretending to be objective out of a toxic mix of confirmation bias, source bias (their scientist sources lied to them), group think, TDS and general incompetence."

I think this is a bit overly harsh especially #2. The evidence for this has changed, we have learned much more from last year. About the wet markets in particular. So this is, I think, not completely fair or accurate.

Link here: https://twitter.com/joshrogin/status/1398661632193089536

#3 seems harsh to me.

I don’t recall any scientists saying a Lab Leak origin is impossible. Maybe a few did. Most scientists just think it’s unlikely because the virus doesn’t appear to be man-made.

The head of the Wuhan Virology Lab admitted early in 2020 that she feared that the virus came from her lab although she says after an investigation, she was relieved that it didn’t match virus samples that they were studying. It’s understandable why her statement shouldn’t be accepted at face value (she lives in an authoritarian country afterall) but I don’t recall many articles referencing that outside of some of the scientific articles that I’ve read.

Her statement alone is proof that a Lab accident is possible. Obviously she initially wasn’t confident that the virus didn’t come from her Lab (and still may not be).
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Jon Banks on June 02, 2021, 04:18:23 AM
If anyone has time to watch a lengthy video, this conversation in the video below gives a good summary of the reasons why Virologists believe a natural origin for Covid is most likely what happened (and why they think a Lab leak is less likely). Could the scientists be wrong? Of course. However, they have more experience in studying viruses than 99% of us so we can't dismiss their opinions:

Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Rick Plant on June 11, 2021, 11:58:23 PM
A lot of folks in the Mainstream Media disliked Trump so much that they weren’t able to report on his Presidency objectively.

I say this as someone who didn’t vote for Trump and thought he was a lousy President.

Reporting Criminal Donald's crimes and scandals is objective reporting. The right wing media covered up everything.   
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Rick Plant on June 12, 2021, 12:07:11 AM
Yep, the story was that the mainstream media - the major outlets - refused to cover the story. And social media banned people from linking to the NY Post story. And the NY Post was banned by Twitter and Facebook from linking to their story. This nonsense that it wasn't "proven" and therefore couldn't be mentioned is absurd. By that standard half of the stories we discuss wouldn't be allowed to be mentioned. JFK assassination anyone?

The Russian collusion story wasn't proven, especially the Steele Dossier part of it. The Russian bounty story wasn't proven. And yet those weren't banned. Just until two days ago Facebook banned people from mentioning the "lab leak" theory behind the pandemic.

Something seriously wrong is going on here but it appears that if the "right" people are being silenced it's okay. It's not. Today it's them, tomorrow it's you.

Corrupt criminal Bill Barr covered up the Russian collusion that the criminal Trump campaign was involved in. Paul Manafort gave polling data to the Russians and the Senate Intelligence Committee already confirmed the Russian collusion from their bipartisan investigation....that is clear collusion.

US says Russia was given Trump campaign polling data in 2016
https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-paul-manafort-russia-campaigns-konstantin-kilimnik-d2fdefdb37077e28eba135e21fce6ebf

U.S. Senate report goes beyond Mueller to lay bare Trump campaign's Russia links
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/aug/18/donald-trump-us-senate-report-russia-campaign
   
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Hypothesis
Post by: Matt Grantham on August 09, 2021, 01:47:00 AM
Wouldn't hunter deny it was his if that was the case And personal video in all compromising positions? someone else was able to acquire that in your scenario/
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Theory
Post by: Matt Grantham on August 10, 2021, 04:26:56 AM


U.S. Senate report goes beyond Mueller to lay bare Trump campaign's Russia links
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/aug/18/donald-trump-us-senate-report-russia-campaign
   

 Then why did Mueller in his congressional testimony at the end of his investigation, say there was no evidence of any collusion or conspiracy between the Trump administration and Russia
Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Hypothesis
Post by: Jon Banks on August 31, 2021, 12:10:41 AM
Not surprising that Biden’s inquiry into the origins of Covid came back inconclusive.

 Summary of the ODNI report - 

https://www.axios.com/report-covid-origin-inconclusive-900d4340-2267-4eba-a9ec-e2fc951ff921.html

Quote

COVID's origin is still inconclusive, according to an unclassified intelligence report publicly released Friday.

Driving the news: Chinese officials had no knowledge of the virus prior to its initial outbreak, according to the report, though it doesn't rule out the lab leak or animal transmission theories. The intelligence community "remains divided."

What they're saying: COVID was "probably" not developed as a biological weapon or genetically engineered, but the two dominant theories — that it came from a lab leak or was naturally transmitted from an animal — remain plausible, per the report.

Title: Re: The Media, the Virus and the "Lab Leak" Hypothesis
Post by: Tom Scully on August 31, 2021, 10:25:25 PM
The same pattern applied to the Media’s coverage of Russiagate too.

And those of us who are JFK assassination skeptics or CT’ers could say that that kind of behavior in the media has gone on for decades.

Whether it’s Covid, Iraq’s WMDs, Climate Science, or the JFK murder investigations, the Mainstream Media for some reason tends to try to limit the boundaries of what is legit to discuss and tries to discredit narratives or ideas that they don’t like or that goes against mainstream consensus.

Because the Media hates Trump so much, it was easy to dismiss the Lab Leak theory as just another conspiracy theory when he was President.

Now that a few mainstream reporters and some scientists have endorsed the idea that the theory is at least plausible and Trump is no longer President, the media’s consensus has shifted.

Because I have kept an open mind from day one, I never ruled out the Lab Leak as a plausible event even while I think a natural origin is the most likely explanation…

Not surprising that Biden’s inquiry into the origins of Covid came back inconclusive.

 Summary of the ODNI report -

https://www.axios.com/report-covid-origin-inconclusive-900d4340-2267-4eba-a9ec-e2fc951ff921.html




Jon, the media never "hated Trump so much". He exploited it. That is the main "talent" of his group of criminals. Considering what you've expressed just in the two posts I quoted, if I were you, I'd be more concerned about what Trump has done to exploit my (IOW, your) bias, generally.

Please post examples of media misreporting about Trump's denial of Russia's influence in the 2016 election and of his obstruction of justice. He became the President, not Clinton, yet the tenor of your post is that he is somehow "the victim."

Two views on media coverage of 2016 - Brookings Institutionhttps://www.brookings.edu › blog › fixgov › 2016/08/29
Aug 29, 2016 — Whether it's the free advertising at every newspaper, cable news channel and news-oriented blog credited with propelling Donald Trump; whether ...

If Clinton loses, blame the email controversy and the mediahttps://www.latimes.com › opinion › op-ed › la-oe-patt...
Sep 21, 2016 — Hillary Clinton has suffered far more negative press coverage than her rival, mostly because of her email issues.

Conservative media dominated coverage of 2016 campaign ...https://news.harvard.edu › gazette › story › 2017/09 › c...
Sep 8, 2017 — If you thought that media coverage during the 2016 presidential election seemed, more often than not, to boost Donald Trump and criticize ...

Studies agree: Media gorged on Hillary Clinton email coveragehttps://www.washingtonpost.com › blogs › 2017/08/25
Aug 25, 2017 — The next time someone argues that the media was all-in for Clinton, cite these findings.

Hillary Clinton's emails got as much front-page coverage in 6 ...https://www.vox.com › 2017/12 › study-media-2016-el...
Dec 7, 2017 — James Comey. Wisconsin. But two researchers, David Rothschild and Duncan Watts, took on an in-depth analysis of the mainstream media that will ...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Li-Meng_Yan
Li-Meng Yan or Yan Limeng (simplified Chinese: 闫丽梦; traditional Chinese: 閆麗夢) is a Chinese virologist,[citation needed] known for publications and interviews alleging that SARS-CoV-2 was made in a Chinese government laboratory. These publications have been widely criticised by the scientific community.[3][4][5][6]

In April 2020, she fled to the United States. She co-authored several preprint research papers[a] claiming that SARS-CoV-2 was "produced in a laboratory."[8][9][10] According to scientific reviewers from the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Yan's paper offered "contradictory and inaccurate information that does not support their argument,"[3] while reviewers from Rapid Reviews: COVID-19 criticised her preprints as not demonstrating "sufficient scientific evidence to support its claims."[4]
......
Political links
Yan's preprint was promoted by the Rule of Law Society,[23] a political organisation affiliated with Steve Bannon, former Trump strategist, and Guo Wengui, an expatriate Chinese billionaire, in November 2018.[6][24] The organisation's stated intent was to investigate "Chinese corruption and financially support victims of the regime."[17][18][25] The Rule of Law Society had not previously published scientific or medical research.[17] Yan previously appeared on Bannon's "War Room" podcast.[19][17] The lack of financial disclosure in Yan's papers was described as a lapse in ethical transparency by Dr. Adam Lauring, particularly when publishing "what are essentially conspiracy theories that are not founded in fact".[4]

In November 2020, The New York Times reported that Yan's "trajectory was carefully crafted" by Steve Bannon and Guo Wengui, who played to rising anti-Chinese sentiments, with the goal of bringing down China's government and distracting from the Trump administration's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic.[26] The Times article pointed out that Guo and Bannon arranged for Yan to fly first class to the United States, arranged lodging, coached her on media appearances, and arranged interviews for her with conservative media hosts such as Lou Dobbs and Tucker Carlson.[26]