JFK Assassination Forum

JFK Assassination Discussion & Debate => JFK Assassination Discussion & Debate => Topic started by: Mike Orr on February 26, 2018, 12:10:28 AM

Title: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Mike Orr on February 26, 2018, 12:10:28 AM
Was LBJ heading to jail ? We know RFK hated him. JFK was said to be ready to cut LBJ from the ticket in 64. Billie Sol Estes & Bobby Baker were big problems with LBJ . I think all of LBJ's problems were solved when JFK was gunned down in Dealey Plaza !
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Gary Craig on February 26, 2018, 12:30:23 AM
(http://i959.photobucket.com/albums/ae75/garcra/nixon.jpg)
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Mike Orr on February 26, 2018, 02:36:52 AM
I know Nixon dropped this tidbit of news while he was in Dallas ( but actually forgot where he was when JFK was assassinated as did a # of others who had faulty memories of that day). I thought it was rather ironic that Nixon would be the bearer of bad news for Lyndon ! It kind of sounds like there was a very reliable source or sources of LBJ getting ready to be booted from the ticket in 64. Lyndon was going to get what he wanted , one way or another. You figure it out !
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Gary Craig on February 26, 2018, 03:05:16 AM
I know Nixon dropped this tidbit of news while he was in Dallas ( but actually forgot where he was when JFK was assassinated as did a # of others who had faulty memories of that day). I thought it was rather ironic that Nixon would be the bearer of bad news for Lyndon ! It kind of sounds like there was a very reliable source or sources of LBJ getting ready to be booted from the ticket in 64. Lyndon was going to get what he wanted , one way or another. You figure it out !

For what it's worth.

I've read, don't have the source right this minute, that RFK was feeding info, garnered from his position as
 
AG, to the congressional committee investigating corruption involving LBJ. They had just taken damning

testimony concerning bribes and payoffs directly tied to Johnson when news came that JFK had been shot   

in Dallas. They recessed and didn't reconvene until after LBJ left office.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Joe Elliott on February 26, 2018, 07:08:09 AM

If JFK was planning on dropping Johnson, why was he riding in motorcades in Texas? He barely won Texas in 1960 with Johnson on the ticket. If he drops Johnson, he will lose Texas in 1964 (unless there is a landslide election). In any case, with any such plans in the offering, JFK would have written off Texas and instead visit some other key state. Texas was chosen for a visit because it is a large state, it has a lot of electoral votes, and it could go either way in 1964. Provided he doesn?t drop Johnson.

While Johnson may have lost some of his popularity in Texas, and more so in the Deep South, due to his support for Civil Rights, Texas, on the whole, was not as racist as the Deep South. Despite the Democratic Party?s support for Civil Rights in the 1960?s, the Texas voted for the Democratic candidate in both 1964 and 1968. Johnson still had a lot of support within Texas, on the whole.

But if JFK drops Johnson in 1964, that will severely jeopardize Texas. I?m not saying JFK would not drop Johnson under any circumstances. But if he was planning to do so, he would write off Texas and go visit a different state that could go either way, to help make up for the probable loss of Texas.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Gary Craig on February 26, 2018, 03:41:44 PM
If JFK was planning on dropping Johnson, why was he riding in motorcades in Texas? He barely won Texas in 1960 with Johnson on the ticket. If he drops Johnson, he will lose Texas in 1964 (unless there is a landslide election). In any case, with any such plans in the offering, JFK would have written off Texas and instead visit some other key state. Texas was chosen for a visit because it is a large state, it has a lot of electoral votes, and it could go either way in 1964. Provided he doesn?t drop Johnson.

While Johnson may have lost some of his popularity in Texas, and more so in the Deep South, due to his support for Civil Rights, Texas, on the whole, was not as racist as the Deep South. Despite the Democratic Party?s support for Civil Rights in the 1960?s, the Texas voted for the Democratic candidate in both 1964 and 1968. Johnson still had a lot of support within Texas, on the whole.

But if JFK drops Johnson in 1964, that will severely jeopardize Texas. I?m not saying JFK would not drop Johnson under any circumstances. But if he was planning to do so, he would write off Texas and go visit a different state that could go either way, to help make up for the probable loss of Texas.

If JFK wanted to win Texas but drop LBJ from the ticket he would've done just what he did. Dropping the

favorite son of Texas from the ticket for political reasons wouldn't have gone over well with voters. Having

a corruption case, with prison time, hanging over Johnson's head could have forced him off the ticket for

non politically damaging reasons. Health would be my guess. LBJ could have rooted for Kennedy from the

sidelines in exchange for staying out of jail. Politics is a dirty game.

JMO


Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Joe Elliott on February 26, 2018, 06:31:38 PM


If JFK wanted to win Texas but drop LBJ from the ticket he would've done just what he did. Dropping the

favorite son of Texas from the ticket for political reasons wouldn't have gone over well with voters. Having

a corruption case, with prison time, hanging over Johnson's head could have forced him off the ticket for

non politically damaging reasons. Health would be my guess. LBJ could have rooted for Kennedy from the

sidelines in exchange for staying out of jail. Politics is a dirty game.

JMO


If he doesn?t have Johnson on the ticket than he will lose Texas. Except in a landslide victory. In which case it doesn?t matter if he can get all the votes he can from Texas or any other state.

But in a close election, he needs Texas. He needs Johnson on the ticket to get Texas. With Johnson on the ticket in 1960 he was barely about to capture Texas. Without Texas and one other sizable state, like Illinois, he would have lost that election.

It doesn?t matter how he removes Johnson. Some Texans are going to not like that. It would have been better if he never chose Johnson in the first place (for the1960 election) as far as the 1964 election is concerned.

JFK starting his campaigning early in Texas is a strong indication that he had no plans of dropping Johnson, for any reason. If he?s planning on dropping Johnson, then he is just wasting his time in Texas, time that could be better spent in some other large state that could go either way.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: John Iacoletti on February 26, 2018, 10:45:47 PM
If JFK was planning on dropping Johnson, why was he riding in motorcades in Texas? He barely won Texas in 1960 with Johnson on the ticket. If he drops Johnson, he will lose Texas in 1964 (unless there is a landslide election).

Doubtful.  Texas was completely Democrat controlled at the time.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Mike Orr on February 27, 2018, 03:22:48 AM
Was Nixon starting a smear campaign against JFK & LBJ by saying that JFK was going to drop LBJ from the ticket therefore throwing the state of Texas up for grabs. What happened in Dallas on 11-22-1963 put a Texan in the White House in the BIG Chair and that seems to be the only way that LBJ was going to be President. Coincidence , It doesn't seem like it .
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Joe Elliott on February 27, 2018, 06:27:28 AM


If JFK was planning on dropping Johnson, why was he riding in motorcades in Texas? He barely won Texas in 1960 with Johnson on the ticket. If he drops Johnson, he will lose Texas in 1964 (unless there is a landslide election).




Doubtful.  Texas was completely Democrat controlled at the time.



In 1960, in Texas, the Democrats got 50.52 % of the vote to the Republican?s 48.52 % of the vote, narrowly giving the state to JFK.

In 1964, in a landslide election, Democrats got 63.32 % of the vote to the Republican?s 36.49 % of the vote, giving the election to Johnson. The large margin of victory was due to the public?s concern over Goldwater getting us into war.

In 1968, in Texas, the Democrats got 41.14 % of the vote to the Republican?s 39.97 % of the vote, narrowly giving the state to Humphrey. Many voted for Wallace.

While up through the 1950?s, Texas was a solidly Democratic state, as was the rest of the South. By the 1960?s, the Democratic party?s support for Civil Rights started to erode this support. By the 1960?s, Texas could easily go either way. Hence the need for a Texan Vice-Presidential candidate. Or, if a Texas needs to be removed from the ticket, there is no use in campaigning in Texas, because Texas will be lost in 1964.

Having Johnson on the ticket in 1960 caused many Texan?s to vote for Kennedy. They did not like the Democratic party?s support for Civil Rights. But they can overcome this concern if it means they can vote for a Texan, even as only a Vice President.


The fact that JFK has started campaigning in 1963 means that he is not anticipating a landslide election, hence, Texas can go either way. The fact that he is campaigning in Texas means that he is not planning on removing Johnson from the ticket. Because if he was planning on doing that, he is wasting his time in Texas and needs to spend the time in some other important state that can go either way.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: John Iacoletti on February 27, 2018, 04:28:05 PM
In 1960, in Texas, the Democrats got 50.52 % of the vote to the Republican?s 48.52 % of the vote, narrowly giving the state to JFK.

Nixon was a sitting vice-president.  JFK was a relative unknown.

Quote
In 1964, in a landslide election, Democrats got 63.32 % of the vote to the Republican?s 36.49 % of the vote, giving the election to Johnson. The large margin of victory was due to the public?s concern over Goldwater getting us into war.

You don't think the same would have been the case if JFK had lived?

Quote
In 1968, in Texas, the Democrats got 41.14 % of the vote to the Republican?s 39.97 % of the vote, narrowly giving the state to Humphrey. Many voted for Wallace.

Exactly.  Wallace got the Southern Democrat vote.

Quote
Having Johnson on the ticket in 1960 caused many Texan?s to vote for Kennedy. They did not like the Democratic party?s support for Civil Rights. But they can overcome this concern if it means they can vote for a Texan, even as only a Vice President.

Civil rights wasn't much of a thing yet in 1960.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Richard Smith on February 27, 2018, 06:18:44 PM
Robert Caro makes a decent case that LBJ might have been dropped from the ticket.  He is the foremost historian on LBJ so that carries some weight.  But it makes absolutely no difference in regards to the assassination since LBJ had nothing to do with it. 
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Mike Orr on February 27, 2018, 08:06:32 PM
Why didn't LBJ ride in the same limo as JFK instead of back in the pack ?
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Joe Elliott on February 27, 2018, 08:32:03 PM


Robert Caro makes a decent case that LBJ might have been dropped from the ticket.  He is the foremost historian on LBJ so that carries some weight.  But it makes absolutely no difference in regards to the assassination since LBJ had nothing to do with it.


Questions:

Does Robert Caro explain why Kennedy is campaigning in Texas in November in 1963 while he is planning to undo this work by dropping Johnson from the ticket?

Does Robert Caro even address this issue?

Does Robert Caro explicitly state that as of November 1963, JFK was still planning on dropping LBJ?




Regardless of how eminent a historian Robert Caro is, I can?t buy his arguments if he does not address this issue.



If JFK was considering dropping LBJ from the ticket, he must have decided not to by the time of the November 1963 trip to Texas.


Presidential candidates campaign in states that are important, that can go either way. They like to campaign in larger states, but what is even more important, they chose states that can go either way. That is why candidates largely avoid campaigning in California or Texas today, because, in all but a landslide election, California will vote Democratic and Texas Republican.

Candidates who campaign in states don?t do stuff that will alienate that state. A candidate won?t campaign in Texas if he is planning on dropping a Texan as his running mate. A candidate won?t campaign in Texas if he is planning, let?s say, not installing the NASA headquarters in Texas but in some other state. If either of these actions are necessary, he needs to write off Texas and campaign in a different state that may go either way.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: John Iacoletti on February 27, 2018, 09:33:53 PM
I think you're making a mistake in assuming that Texas loved LBJ -- especially Dallas.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Jack Trojan on February 27, 2018, 11:18:34 PM
How come when LBJ asked Judge Sarah T. Hughes to administer the oath of office on Air Force One, he happened to have a copy of it in his pocket? Imagine that.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Joe Elliott on February 28, 2018, 01:36:08 AM


I think you're making a mistake in assuming that Texas loved LBJ -- especially Dallas.


Well, if I made a mistake, JFK made a bigger one for not choosing a running mate who could help him win an important state that could go either way.

Could LBJ help win Dallas? Not really. It was conservative and very much against Civil Rights. But Texas on the whole was not so extreme. Texas voted for the Democratic candidate for President throughout the 1960?s, unlike the deep South. LBJ was helpful in swinging Texas JFK?s way in 1960 and would be again in 1964, if he was still on the ticket.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Jerry Organ on February 28, 2018, 03:45:48 AM
There was a recent "tradition" at the time to have a Southerner balance the ticket.

Year  Presidential
Candidate
  Vice-Presidential
Candidate
  Veep State

 
 
 
1948  Truman  Barkley
(https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a8/Alben_Barkley.jpg/121px-Alben_Barkley.jpg)
  Kentucky
1952  Stevenson  Sparkman
(https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/64/Alabama_Sen._John_Sparkman.jpg/121px-Alabama_Sen._John_Sparkman.jpg)
  Alabama
1956  Stevenson  Kefauver
(https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/5a/SenatorKefauver%28D-TN%29.jpg/121px-SenatorKefauver%28D-TN%29.jpg)
  Tennessee
1960  Kennedy  Johnson
(https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f9/Lyndon_B._Johnson._Waist_length%2C_seated_-_NARA_-_518140.jpg/121px-Lyndon_B._Johnson._Waist_length%2C_seated_-_NARA_-_518140.jpg)
  Texas

FDR's three Vice-Presidential candidates were from Texas, Iowa and Missouri, geographic counterparts to FDR's New York State.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Joe Elliott on February 28, 2018, 03:55:33 AM


How come when LBJ asked Judge Sarah T. Hughes to administer the oath of office on Air Force One, he happened to have a copy of it in his pocket? Imagine that.


The oath of the office for the President of the United States is included in Article Two of the U. S. Constitution. It is inconceivable that the President, and his advisors would not carry copies of the Constitution with them wherever they may go. Some coincidence indeed.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Joe Elliott on February 28, 2018, 05:33:03 AM


The Constitution also states that there is an automatic transfer of power, thus, LBJ didn't need to be sworn in. Since he was carrying a copy of the Constitution according to you then he should have known this.


LBJ knew this but perhaps the Soviets didn?t. If not, this public ceremony, immediately announced to the world, would remove any doubts about whether the United States had a President of the United States. Or any doubts if the United States would be able to respond, immediately, to any sudden attack, nuclear or otherwise.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Joe Elliott on February 28, 2018, 05:38:09 AM


How come when LBJ asked Judge Sarah T. Hughes to administer the oath of office on Air Force One, he happened to have a copy of it in his pocket? Imagine that.


When Jack made this post, he would have known that there was a perfectly reasonable explanation as to why LBJ would have a copy of the oath to the office of the President of the United States. It is contained within the U. S. Constitution. Or the person who relayed this information to Jack would have known. Either Jack should be ashamed, or angry at the person who gave him incomplete information.

But this is the tactic that I see CTers use time and time again. Give one some information. But not the total story, which would nullify or largely nullify the information they provided. It is the tactic of the side with a weak case for the truth.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: John Iacoletti on February 28, 2018, 05:46:14 PM
The Constitution also states that there is an automatic transfer of power, thus, LBJ didn't need to be sworn in. Since he was carrying a copy of the Constitution according to you then he should have known this.

He wanted the photo op.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: John Iacoletti on February 28, 2018, 05:49:28 PM
The oath of the office for the President of the United States is included in Article Two of the U. S. Constitution. It is inconceivable that the President, and his advisors would not carry copies of the Constitution with them wherever they may go. Some coincidence indeed.

Then why did LBJ call Bobby to get the oath?  Just to rub it in?
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Jack Trojan on February 28, 2018, 08:06:26 PM
The oath of the office for the President of the United States is included in Article Two of the U. S. Constitution. It is inconceivable that the President, and his advisors would not carry copies of the Constitution with them wherever they may go. Some coincidence indeed.

Give me a break, no one carried around the oath of office with them back in 63. When Sarah Hughes said to LBJ, "Sorry but I don't have the Oath of Office on me.", he handed her his copy and turned to the small crowd aboard AF1 and said jokingly, "If any of you speak of this, I'll deny it.",  then he turned to his long-time friend, Texas congressman Albert Thomas and smiled, and Thomas returned a wink.

And if LBJ's 1st thought after the assassination was that it might have been a commie plot, then why didn't he have the nuclear football with him on AF1? Ans: because he knew the rooskies had nothing to do with it.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Richard Smith on February 28, 2018, 08:33:06 PM
Questions:

Does Robert Caro explain why Kennedy is campaigning in Texas in November in 1963 while he is planning to undo this work by dropping Johnson from the ticket?

Does Robert Caro even address this issue?

Does Robert Caro explicitly state that as of November 1963, JFK was still planning on dropping LBJ?




Regardless of how eminent a historian Robert Caro is, I can?t buy his arguments if he does not address this issue.



If JFK was considering dropping LBJ from the ticket, he must have decided not to by the time of the November 1963 trip to Texas.


Presidential candidates campaign in states that are important, that can go either way. They like to campaign in larger states, but what is even more important, they chose states that can go either way. That is why candidates largely avoid campaigning in California or Texas today, because, in all but a landslide election, California will vote Democratic and Texas Republican.

Candidates who campaign in states don?t do stuff that will alienate that state. A candidate won?t campaign in Texas if he is planning on dropping a Texan as his running mate. A candidate won?t campaign in Texas if he is planning, let?s say, not installing the NASA headquarters in Texas but in some other state. If either of these actions are necessary, he needs to write off Texas and campaign in a different state that may go either way.

Before I read Caro's "Passage of Power," I would have agreed there was little or no chance that JFK would drop LBJ.  But Caro makes a decent case.  He notes that by 1963 LBJ had lost most of his political influence from his Senate days, was not well liked in the South due to his promotion of Civil Rights, and had legal trouble.  He was also hated by RFK.  It would have been a big gamble to dump him which is not in character for JFK, but there were some good reasons to do so.  Of course no one will ever know though.  I highly recommend "Passage of Power" to anyone interested in the topic.  A great book.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Joe Elliott on March 01, 2018, 06:22:23 PM


Give me a break, no one carried around the oath of office with them back in 63. When Sarah Hughes said to LBJ, "Sorry but I don't have the Oath of Office on me.", he handed her his copy and turned to the small crowd aboard AF1 and said jokingly, "If any of you speak of this, I'll deny it.",  then he turned to his long-time friend, Texas congressman Albert Thomas and smiled, and Thomas returned a wink.



Are you claiming we can?t expect the advisors to the President to always have a copy of the Constitution with them?



There are two statements you could have chosen to make:

Statement 1:

How come when LBJ asked Judge Sarah T. Hughes to administer the oath of office on Air Force One, he happened to have a copy of the oath on hand? Imagine that.

Statement 2:

How come when LBJ asked Judge Sarah T. Hughes to administer the oath of office on Air Force One, he happened to have a copy of the Constitution which contained the oath on hand? Imagine that.


It is clear that Statement 1 is much more effective than Statement 2, which contains more information. From Statement 1, a reader could conclude that this was very suspicious. From Statement 2, such suspicions would not take hold so readily.

Why do CTers spend so much time thinking about what information to reveal and what to conceal, to make the strongest possible point? Is this the tactic of the side with the truth on their side?




And if LBJ's 1st thought after the assassination was that it might have been a commie plot, then why didn't he have the nuclear football with him on AF1? Ans: because he knew the rooskies had nothing to do with it.



I can?t believe the aids who carried the nuclear football would have not accompanied the new President on the afternoon of the assassination as he flew back to Washington D. C.

Question:

Do you have any reference to this claim that President Kennedy did have this but the new President Johnson did not? Can you back this claim up?
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Joe Elliott on March 01, 2018, 06:28:08 PM


Before I read Caro's "Passage of Power," I would have agreed there was little or no chance that JFK would drop LBJ.  But Caro makes a decent case.  He notes that by 1963 LBJ had lost most of his political influence from his Senate days, was not well liked in the South due to his promotion of Civil Rights, and had legal trouble.  He was also hated by RFK.  It would have been a big gamble to dump him which is not in character for JFK, but there were some good reasons to do so.  Of course no one will ever know though.  I highly recommend "Passage of Power" to anyone interested in the topic.  A great book.


There are a lot of books I could read. Could you provide, in a nutshell, the arguments Caro used to explain why JFK was campaigning in Texas while he was planning on dropping LBJ? Wouldn?t campaigning in a state he wasn?t about to do something negative to be more productive?

Can you provide a Chapter and page reference?

Since different versions of a book may come with different page numbers, something like ?Chapter 4?, which runs from pages 129 through 157, on page 154 contains this . . .? would be helpful.



If Caro failed to address this issue, it would cause me to suspect his judgment. Even if he is right. A good historian should anticipate and deal with any obvious flaws with his theory.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Jerry Organ on March 01, 2018, 07:03:47 PM
Before I read Caro's "Passage of Power," I would have agreed there was little or no chance that JFK would drop LBJ.  But Caro makes a decent case.  He notes that by 1963 LBJ had lost most of his political influence from his Senate days, was not well liked in the South due to his promotion of Civil Rights, and had legal trouble.  He was also hated by RFK.  It would have been a big gamble to dump him which is not in character for JFK, but there were some good reasons to do so.  Of course no one will ever know though.  I highly recommend "Passage of Power" to anyone interested in the topic.  A great book.

I imagine many in the South hated the abrasive and manner-less RFK.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: John Iacoletti on March 01, 2018, 07:17:14 PM
Are you claiming we can?t expect the advisors to the President to always have a copy of the Constitution with them?

Since when do government officials care what the Constitution says?

Quote
Why do CTers spend so much time thinking about what information to reveal and what to conceal, to make the strongest possible point? Is this the tactic of the side with the truth on their side?

If you mean LNers, then yes, this is absolutely the tactic that they use.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: John Iacoletti on March 01, 2018, 07:20:52 PM
There are a lot of books I could read. Could you provide, in a nutshell, the arguments Caro used to explain why JFK was campaigning in Texas while he was planning on dropping LBJ? Wouldn?t campaigning in a state he wasn?t about to do something negative to be more productive?

There was a schism in Texas between the conservative "Connally" Democrats and the liberal "Yarborough" Democrats.  He was hoping to help unify them so that they wouldn't split the vote.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Steve M. Galbraith on March 01, 2018, 07:26:45 PM
There are a lot of books I could read. Could you provide, in a nutshell, the arguments Caro used to explain why JFK was campaigning in Texas while he was planning on dropping LBJ? Wouldn?t campaigning in a state he wasn?t about to do something negative to be more productive?

Can you provide a Chapter and page reference?

Since different versions of a book may come with different page numbers, something like ?Chapter 4?, which runs from pages 129 through 157, on page 154 contains this . . .? would be helpful.



If Caro failed to address this issue, it would cause me to suspect his judgment. Even if he is right. A good historian should anticipate and deal with any obvious flaws with his theory.

Here's Caro in 2013 on the issue. It's brief but interesting. My guess is that JFK hadn't yet decided on what to do (if he still though he would need Texas, would he have dropped LBJ for Connally?).
                                         ________________________

Question: Was it a given that LBJ would have been on the ticket for a second Kennedy term?

Caro: No. It was a very open question. When you talk about the president?s trip to Texas in November 1963, there is a very revealing element. Kennedy invited Gov. Connally to come to Washington to meet with him about the trip. He didn?t invite LBJ.

When I was visiting Connally on his ranch, I talked to him about this. He told me that the Johnsons knew he was coming to Washington and they had invited him over for dinner. Then they found out that he was meeting with the president and that Johnson hadn?t been invited.

Source/link: https://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/commentary/2013/10/25/qa-robert-caro-on-viewing-kennedy-through-lbjs-eyes
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Richard Smith on March 01, 2018, 08:01:26 PM
There are a lot of books I could read. Could you provide, in a nutshell, the arguments Caro used to explain why JFK was campaigning in Texas while he was planning on dropping LBJ? Wouldn?t campaigning in a state he wasn?t about to do something negative to be more productive?

Can you provide a Chapter and page reference?

Since different versions of a book may come with different page numbers, something like ?Chapter 4?, which runs from pages 129 through 157, on page 154 contains this . . .? would be helpful.



If Caro failed to address this issue, it would cause me to suspect his judgment. Even if he is right. A good historian should anticipate and deal with any obvious flaws with his theory.

I just recommended the book.  Not volunteering as your research assistant.  Caro is the foremost historian on LBJ.  All you have to do is Google him if you want to know his credentials.  If you are interested in the topic, read his book.  If not, don't.  I've explained his arguments as best I can remember.  LBJ was increasingly unpopular in the south because of his evolving stance on Civil Rights.  As a local politician running for office in Texas in his earlier career, LBJ was never a civil rights advocate.  Once his aspirations became the presidency, he realized that he could not be viewed as a southern segregationist and win national office.  So he alienated many of his previous supporters in places like Texas by strongly supporting Civil Rights.  As a result, it's not clear that dropping LBJ from the ticket would have hurt JFK in Texas.  In fact, it might have helped him in the South depending on who he decided to replace him with.  Perhaps another more popular Southerner.  I don't think any decision had been made on dropping LBJ by Nov. 22.  So your question contains a false premise as to why JFK would campaign in Texas while planning on dropping LBJ.  He had not made any decision at that point. 

btw:  Caro who has reviewed more documents and interviewed more people associated with LBJ than anyone else indicated he came across no evidence of his involvement in the JFK assassination.  And Caro has leveled some fairy damning criticisms of LBJ.  So it is not a case of subject envy.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Steve M. Galbraith on March 01, 2018, 08:21:10 PM
I just recommended the book.  Not volunteering as your research assistant.  Caro is the foremost historian on LBJ.  All you have to do is Google him if you want to know his credentials.  If you are interested in the topic, read his book.  If not, don't.  I've explained his arguments as best I can remember.  LBJ was increasingly unpopular in the south because of his evolving stance on Civil Rights.  As a local politician running for office in Texas in his earlier career, LBJ was never a civil rights advocate.  Once his aspirations became the presidency, he realized that he could not be viewed as a southern segregationist and win national office.  So he alienated many of his previous supporters in places like Texas by strongly supporting Civil Rights.  As a result, it's not clear that dropping LBJ from the ticket would have hurt JFK in Texas.  In fact, it might have helped him in the South depending on who he decided to replace him with.  Perhaps another more popular Southerner.  I don't think any decision had been made on dropping LBJ by Nov. 22.  So your question contains a false premise as to why JFK would campaign in Texas while planning on dropping LBJ.  He had not made any decision at that point. 

btw:  Caro who has reviewed more documents and interviewed more people associated with LBJ than anyone else indicated he came across no evidence of his involvement in the JFK assassination.  And Caro has leveled some fairy damning criticisms of LBJ.  So it is not a case of subject envy.

Well stated. Although it's not clear to me that LBJ's support for civil rights was hurting him that much in Texas. He did receive 63% of the Texas vote when he ran for reelection in 1964. Unlike the other Southern states Texas at that time didn't have Jim Crow segregation (remember several black citizens of Ft. Worth attended the breakfast that morning; and the TSBD didn't have segregated bathrooms or lunch rooms). So any civil rights bill wouldn't have affected the state too much; certainly not as much as those states practicing segregation.

Just to add: LBJ received 55% of the vote for the Senate in 1954. Six years later he ran for the Senate again (yes, while also on the ticket with JFK) and received 58% of the vote. So his pro-civil rights views seemingly didn't hurt too much.

It's interesting to note that four days after the assassination that LBJ called Rev./Dr. King up asking for his support on the civil rights bill. He told King that the legislation was still stuck in the House (in a sub-committee!) and that Congress was going to adjourn without passing it.

Dallek suggests that the Kennedys were waiting for the Baker investigation to conclude before making any decision. He says they were leaking stories about possibly dropping LBJ. That is, covering themselves.

Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Richard Smith on March 01, 2018, 08:35:54 PM
Well stated. Although it's not clear to me that LBJ's support for civil rights was hurting him that much in Texas. He did receive 63% of the vote when he ran for reelection in 1964. Unlike the other Southern states Texas at that time didn't have Jim Crow segregation (remember several black citizens of Ft. Worth attended the breakfast that morning; and the TSBD didn't have segregated bathrooms or lunch rooms). So any civil rights bill wouldn't have affected the state too much; certainly not as much as those states practicing segregation.

Just to add: LBJ received 55% of the vote for the Senate in 1954. Six years later he ran for the Senate again (yes, while also on the ticked with JFK) and received 58% of the vote. So his pro-civil rights views seemingly didn't hurt too much.

It's interesting to note that four days after the assassination that LBJ called Rev./Dr. King up asking for his support on the civil rights bill. He told King that the legislation was still stuck in the House (in a sub-committee!) and that Congress was going to adjourn without passing it.

Dallek suggests that the Kennedys were waiting for the Baker investigation to conclude before making any decision. He says they were leaking stories about possibly dropping LBJ. That is, covering themselves.

It wasn't just Texas at play but the entire South that LBJ would have had issues with his new founded love of Civil Rights.   And that was just one reason cited by Caro.  I haven't read the book in a few years, but he also referenced LBJ's legal troubles, bad advice during the Cuban missile crisis (advocating bombing/invasion), almost total exile from the JFK staff, loss of political power in the senate etc.  It would have been a pretty bold move to drop him though.  And JFK was not exactly a political maverick.  I think he would only have done so if absolutely convinced he had too.  I don't recall if Caro made this claim, but I do recall reading somewhere that a potential run by RFK in 1968 could have been a factor in dropping LBJ to set Bobby up as the front runner.  I think the results from 1964 election are not particularly relevant since LBJ rode a wave of post-assassination popularity that didn't crash until Vietnam.  Obviously, if JFK had lived that wouldn't have happened.  Caro makes a good case that in the hundred days or so following the assassination LBJ's presidency was among the most productive in history.  There was a wave of good will that came his way that allowed him to get things done.  And I suppose that is one reason that CTers are always suspicious of him because he so clearly benefited from the assassination.  But alas that is not proof of his involvement.  Of which there is none.
Title: Re: Was JFK going to drop LBJ from the 64 Ticket ?
Post by: Steve M. Galbraith on March 01, 2018, 08:46:02 PM
It wasn't just Texas at play but the entire South that LBJ would have had issues with his new founded love of Civil Rights.   And that was just one reason cited by Caro.  I haven't read the book in a few years, but he also referenced LBJ's legal troubles, bad advice during the Cuban missile crisis (advocating bombing/invasion), almost total exile from the JFK staff, loss of political power in the senate etc.  It would have been a pretty bold move to drop him though.  And JFK was not exactly a political maverick.  I think he would only have done so if absolutely convinced he had too.  I don't recall if Caro made this claim, but I do recall reading somewhere that a potential run by RFK in 1968 could have been a factor in dropping LBJ to set Bobby up as the front runner.  I think the results from 1964 election are not particularly relevant since LBJ rode a wave of post-assassination popularity that didn't crash until Vietnam.  Obviously, if JFK had lived that wouldn't have happened.  Caro makes a good case that in the hundred days or so following the assassination LBJ's presidency was among the most productive in history.  There was a wave of good will that came his way that allowed him to get things done.  And I suppose that is one reason that CTers are always suspicious of him because he so clearly benefited from the assassination.  But alas that is not proof of his involvement.  Of which there is none.

True, but it seem to me that it wouldn't matter who JFK had on the ticket with him IF civil rights had passed. After its passage (if it did) he was going to lose much of the South, receive the blame, whether LBJ was still on it or had been replaced. At least the deep/Jim Crow states.

Would JFK had not faced a backlash in the South if he had replaced LBJ with RFK? Or a northerner? Whoever he chose would have had to endorse the legislation.

Frankly, I don't think the legislation would have been passed at that time if he hadn't been assassinated. Not in 1963 or 1964. Maybe if JFK had won a landslide election he could have muscled it through. But the Kennedys were simply not very good working with Congress.