I’m not a ballistic expert, but how I think about it is that there would seem to be three aspects to a carcano shot, and maybe some folks refer to these aspects differently, so I'll describe my nomenclature.
I think about the carcano muzzle blast as kind of a composition of effects. First the hot gasses in the barrel expanding rapidly from the heat of reaction and the gasses moving out of the barrel very fast pushing the bullet by pressure build up, the gasses kind of acting like small molecular bullets with mass and velocity moving forward pushing the bullet to exit. Other rifles might have a muzzle brake to redirect the gasses backwards acting like jet airplane thrust reversers to mitigate the recoil effect of the gun on the shooter.
Then after exit the fast moving carcano gasses hit the atmosphere and dissipate quickly but generates the loud sound wave I think of when referring to a muzzle blast. This wave propagates outward spherically in all directions, dissipating in loudness as it expands, but is the loud sound people hear from the shot. This is what would hit Zapruder and cause a startle jiggle (from a loud sound startle reaction, not a direct force pushing on the camera). The last aspect is what I was referring to as the shock wave, when the bullets fly faster than the speed of sound they create a separate cone shaped sound wave that propagates out behind at an angle from the bullet/trajectory of the bullet at an angle (Mach angle) depending on the supersonic speed of the bullet. It’s a distinct crack sound and perception depends on people’s distance from the trajectory and how close the bullet goes by your ear, but in most situations is typically not as loud as the muzzle blast one hears.
Does this jive with any of the ballistic experts studying the case? The question is "would the muzzle blast around the base of the depository building when people have their face towards the building, have enough energy to generate a feeling sensation on the face as well as a loud sensation on the ear drum?" . I don't know but assume its possible based on Wiegman's comments based on his comments while being on Houston near Elm.