Trump supporters and conspiracy theory - Part 2

[Rick Plant]

Quinnipiac Poll: Biden leading Trump in Florida and Ohio, maintains double-digit lead nationwide
https://www.courant.com/politics/hc-pol-quinnipiac-presidential-poll-florida-ohio-20201102-hssngqaasffw3jsj5vlcqnajxe-story.html


Final Polls Show Biden with Commanding Lead: Joe Biden enjoys the largest lead a candidate has held in the final polls since Bill Clinton in 1996
https://politicalwire.com/2020/11/02/final-polls-show-biden-with-commanding-lead/


Joe Biden Will Win Comfortably
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/11/02/henry-olsen-2020-president-congress-election-predictions/?arc404=true


No Matter the Polling Method, Biden Is Ahead
Nate Cohn: "This morning, a big wave of polls showed Joe Biden with a clear lead. Nearly all of these were sponsored by major media organizations and conducted via live phone interviews. If you want to check out what we had to say about them, you can scroll down a bit farther on the page. TLDR: Biden’s still ahead by a lot.”

“This afternoon, we got a big wave of polls showing a very similar result, but by very different means. Nearly all were conducted online or by automated phone calls. Emerson, Ipsos, YouGov (here as part of the Cooperative Election Study) and SurveyMonkey are all fairly familiar pollsters with this approach…”

“I don’t want to get into the ins and outs of which methods might be best. What’s important: Mr. Biden seems to hold a significant lead, no matter the methodology
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/presidential-polls-trump-biden/no-matter-the-polling-method-biden-is-ahead


Swing State Poll Finds No Late Shift to Trump
https://politicalwire.com/2020/11/02/swing-state-poll-finds-no-late-shift-to-trump/


Biden Leads with Latino Voters by 2 to 1
Joe Biden leads Donald Trump among Latino voters by about a 2-1 margin days before the presidential election, 62% to 29%, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo poll.


Final Forecast Shows Sweep for Democrats
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball's final Electoral College ratings show Joe Biden at 321 electoral votes and Donald Trump at 217.

Democrats are narrow favorites to capture a Senate majority, 50 to 48 with two Toss-ups — the two Georgia races, both of which we think are likely to go to runoffs.

Democrats will net 10 seats in the House.


Biden Keeps Big National Lead
A new GW Politics poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump nationally, 52% to 41%.


Final Polls Give Biden Big National Lead
The final USC Dornsife Daybreak Poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump in the presidential race nationally, 53% to 43%.

The poll confirms that the presidential race “has remained stable — despite the chaotic backdrop of an election season coinciding with a global pandemic, racial unrest, continued economic uncertainty, corruption allegations and a president infected with the coronavirus.”

More national polls:

Quinnipiac: Biden 50%, Trump 39%
SurveyUSA: Biden 54%, Trump 46%
Redfield & Wilton: Biden 53%, Trump 41%
YouGov: Biden 53%, Trump 43%
Morning Consult: Biden 52%, Trump 44%


State Polls
FLORIDA: Biden 47%, Trump 42% (Quinnipiac)
FLORIDA: Biden 52%, Trump 45% (Monmouth)
FLORIDA: Biden 51%, Trump 47% (RMG Research)
FLORIDA: Biden 47%, Trump 44% (NYT/Siena)
OHIO: Biden 47%, Trump 43% (Quinnipiac)
WISCONSIN: Biden 54%, Trump 41% (Morning Consult)
WISCONSIN: Biden 53%, Trump 43% (Ipsos)
WISCONSIN: Biden 52%, Trump 41% (NYT/Siena)
PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 51%, Trump 44% (Monmouth)
PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 52%, Trump 43% (Morning Consult)
PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 51%, Trump 44% (Ipsos)
PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 51%, Trump 44% (ABC/WaPo)
PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 49%, Trump 43% (NYT/Siena)
MICHIGAN: Biden 52%, Trump 45% (Morning Consult)
MICHIGAN: Biden 52%, Trump 42% (Ipsos)
MINNESOTA: Biden 54%, Trump 39% (St. Cloud State University)
ARIZONA: Biden 49%, Trump 43% (NYT/Siena)


Why Trump Fears Losing
In unguarded moments, Mr. Trump has for weeks told advisers that he expects to face intensifying scrutiny from prosecutors if he loses. He is concerned not only about existing investigations in New York, but the potential for new federal probes as well.”
https://politicalwire.com/2020/11/02/why-trump-fears-losing/

[Rick Plant]

My Electoral College Prediction

Joe Biden will easily win with 369 Electoral Votes and Benedict Donald will have 169.

Biden will take Nebraska 2, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, and Florida.

Benedict Donald will narrowly retain Texas and Iowa.         

Democrats will come away with 54 Senate seats and gain 12 House seats. 

[John Tonkovich]

I hope you are correct, Mr Plant.
Mr Trump is acting like a dictator.
He may well declare himself a victor tonight, before all the votes are even counted.
Barr will certainly (illegally) use the Justice Department to back this up.
If Trump wins, legally or illegally, the U.S. will definitely become a dictatorship.

[Colin Crow]

I hope you are correct, Mr Plant.
Mr Trump is acting like a dictator.
He may well declare himself a victor tonight, before all the votes are even counted.
Barr will certainly (illegally) use the Justice Department to back this up.
If Trump wins, legally or illegally, the U.S. will definitely become a dictatorship.

Troubling to see a leader actively encouraging and condoning violence to their base at election time.

I posted that comment in a Murdoch flagship and it was accepted.

To all members on this board in the USA, please stay safe and hopefully the fears of violence are for nothing.

[Richard Smith]

Ah, the sweet sound of desperation

No, this is the sound of desperation.  HONK, HONK, HONK.  LOL. 

[John Tonkovich]

93,000 new cases today.
Mr Crow, a real and respected scientist, can tell us how bad things are in the U.S..
First wave.
 Second wave.
Mr Crow : (actually Dr. Crow, we should be thankful for his insights   ) has explained how bad the U.S. is. Aussie have it under control.
Dr Crow: U.S. is looking at 400K deaths by 1/21 2021.

[Richard Smith]

Congrats to Old Joe.  He is going to squeak it out.  As I said before, he is an establishment politician who has done nothing during his entire career.  I expect more of the same but unlike the rage filled Trump haters, I hope Old Joe does a great job for America.  Good luck to him.  And Trump 2024!