False dichotomy. There are other possibilities. For example, Tom Alyea reported seeing Fritz picking up the shells before any Studebaker photos were taken.
No, you are offering your own opinion ("empty Carcano shells fell into the "sniper's nest" floor area") and basing your opinion on your spin on the evidence. I never claimed the shells were planted. I don't have to cancel out your opinion or prove you wrong. I'm just showing that your conclusion is speculation, not fact.
Again: how do you know what frames the woundings occurred? How did the "Lost Bullet" people?
That's a pretty bold claim. We're talking about only a few square feet of floor space. Define "very good match". Exactly how far away can the test shell be and still be considered a "hit"? This experiment is one giant pile of confirmation bias.
As I already mentioned, "consistent with" just means not impossible. It's not an indication that it actually happened that way.
No, the shell evidence just shows that there were 3 shells there.
Deputy Mooney finds the shells before Fritz stupidly moves them. He says this, to the WC, about the accuracy of Studebaker's photo:
Mr. MOONEY - Yes, sir; he was the first officer that picked them up, as far as I know, because I stood there and watched him go over and pick them up and look at them. As far as I could tell, I couldn't even tell what caliber they were, because I didn't get down that close to them. They were brass cartridges, brass shells.
Mr. BALL - Is this the position of the cartridges as shown on 510, as you saw them?
Mr. MOONEY - Yes, sir. That is just about the way they were laying, to the best of my knowledge
. I do know there was--one was further away, and these other two were relatively close together--on this particular area. But these cartridges--this one and this one looks like they are further apart than they actually was.
Mr. BALL - Which ones?
Mr. MOONEY - This one and this one.
Mr. BALL - Now, two cartridges were close together, is that right?
Mr. MOONEY - The one cartridge here, by the wall facing, is right. And this one and this one, they were further away from this one.
Mr. BALL - Well--
Mr. MOONEY - But as to being positive of the exact distance
Mr. BALL - You think that the cartridges are in the same position as when you saw them in this picture 510?
Mr. MOONEY - As far as my knowledge, they are; pretty close to right.
"The Lost Bullet" recreation produces strikingly similar results. The bullets will never fall into the same positions in exact terms, yet they do fall into two distinct areas, and the results are a good match for Mooney's description and Studebaker's photo.
This statement in your text jumps out at me: "This experiment is one giant pile of confirmation bias." Well, if you resist the explanation of the shells falling from a Carcano then, yes it is absolutely conformation bias - but by a conspirator who is is confirming a scenario before that scenario has even been
, a scenario that is matched by Zapruder frames yet to be processed.
Can you explain how a conspirator can place empty shells into place that confirm the official scenario based on Zapruder frames that have yet to be exposed? And shot angles that have yet to be tested? Mooney's testimony chimes with the shot angles for the Zapruer frames. Even if the "Lost Bullet" programme is wrong about the second bullet angle (a few frames around the time the car is at the sign area on Elm St), the results will be similar to Mooney's recollection, as the crouching sniper is now aiming at a receeding car. The shells will fall into the area close to the shooter.
You only have two choices:ONE
Conspirator plants bullets in a formation that, amazingly, are a good match for the "Lost Bullet" recreation that uses Zapruder film as it's guide - which is this scenario:
far flung bullet = miss shot from sniper standing up
shot occuring around the time the car is at the sign
with the bullet shells falling in a way that suggests the shooter initially aimed at the car when it was close to him, then crouched, and was then aiming at a receeding car.
No supporting evidence for this conspiracy scenario.TWO
Shells fell from rifle fired from 6th floow window at the motorcade, at 12.30.
Option 2 has the following supporting evidence to back it up:
Three loud reports ring out - many identify them as rifle shots. That would suggest the possibility that three shells might well be found after the attack.
Connally's wounds suggest there is a rear shooter aiming down onto the car
Brennan sees a man wielding what he takes to be a high power rifle from: sixth floor now infamous window. Aiming down at the motorcade.
Brennan thinks the shooter is standing but admits in WC testimony that he thought the workers were also standing - meaning he saw the shooter crouching in all likelihood.
Jackson sees what he takes to be a rifle being drawn into the same window that Brennan saw the shooter: (his colleagues recall him saying he saw this)
An expert-led laser experiment in Dealey Plaza narrows the shooter's likely position to either the 6th floor snipers nest window or the DalTex 2nd floor window.
Mooney finds three spent Carcano hulls on the floor of the 6th floor far east window where Brennan saw a gunman and Jackson saw a rifle.